Avrupa Yeşil Mutabakatı ve Yeşil Ekonomiye Geçiş: Enerji Senaryoları Üzerinden Bir Değerlendirme

Bu çalışmada, yeşil ekonomi anlayışının Avrupa Birliği tarafından nasıl uygulandığı ve bu uygulamaların AB’nin 2050’de iklim hedeflerine ulaşmada ne derece etki edebileceği incelemektedir. Çalışma, bu soruya geçerli bir yanıt bulmak amacıyla, Avrupa Birliği Komisyonu’nun 2019 yılında duyurduğu Avrupa Yeşil Mutabakatı ve bu doğrultuda 2050 yılına kadar dünyanın ilk iklim nötr kıtası olma hedefi üzerinden oluşturduğu Avrupa Birliği’nin enerji kurumları ve uluslararası enerji kuruluşlarının gelecekteki enerji senaryolarına odaklanmaktadır. Araştırma sürecinde 15 farklı enerji raporunun gelecek enerji senaryoları incelenmiştir. Gelecek enerji senaryoları Avrupa Birliği, Uluslararası Enerji Ajansı ve Uluslararası Yenilenebilir Enerji Ajansı gibi uluslararası kuruluşların yayınladıkları raporlardan elde edilmiştir. Araştırma süreci sonucunda elde edilen bilgiler yorumlanarak bulgular oluşturulmuştur. Araştırmanın sonucuna göre; Avrupa Birliği, Avrupa Yeşil Mutabakatı doğrultusunda planladığı eylem alanlarıyla birlikte Paris İklim Anlaşması ile uyumlu politikaları uygulamaya devam ettiği takdirde 2050 hedeflerine yaklaşması mümkün olabilecektir. Ancak mevcut politika uygulamaları ve hedefler ile hiçbir senaryo Avrupa Birliği’nin iklim nötr kıta olması için %100 yeterli olmamaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Yeşil ekonomi, Avrupa Birliği, Avrupa Yeşil Mutabakatı, Enerji Senaryoları, Döngüsel Ekonomi, İklim Değişikliği

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