TİCARİ AÇIKLIK VE FİNANSAL GELİŞMENİN DOĞRUDAN YABANCI YATIRIMLAR ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ: OECD ÜLKELERİ ÜZERİNE DİNAMİK PANEL VERİ ANALİZİ

Bu çalışmanın amacı, 1996-2011 döneminde OECD ülkeleri için ticari açıklık ve finansal gelişmenin doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar üzerindeki etkisini ampirik olarak araştırmaktır. Lineer panel veri modelleri için önerilen sistem GMM tahmincisi kullanılarak, ticari açıklık ve finansal gelişme değişkenlerinin uzun dönemde doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar ile pozitif olarak ilişkili olduğu belirlenmiştir. Panel VAR modeline dayalı Granger nedensellik test sonuçları ise bu değişkenlerden doğrudan yabancı yatırımlara doğru işleyen bir nedensellik tespit etmiştir. Böylece, ampirik sonuçlar OECD ülkelerinde ticari açıklık ve finansal gelişmenin doğrudan yabancı yatırımların belirleyicileri olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır. Bu çalışma, bazı politika çıkarımları sunabilmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Ticari Açıklık, Finansal Gelişme, Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırımlar, Dinamik Panel Veri, Nedensellik

The purpose of this paper is to empirically investigate the impact of trade openness and financial development on foreign direct investment in OECD countries over the period 1996-2011. By using the systemGMM estimator suggested for linear dynamic panel data models, we find that trade openness and financial development are positively associated with foreign direct investment in the long-run. By using Granger causality test based on panel VAR model, we also determine the causal relationship running from these variables to foreign direct investment over the period. Thus, the empirical results imply that trade openness and financial development are the determinants of foreign direct investment in OECD countries. This paper may also provide some policy implications.

Keywords:

Trade Openness, Financial Development, Foreign Direct Investment, Dynamic Panel Data, Causality,

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