Türkiye’de Kişi Başına Enerji Kullanımı Durağan Mıdır?

Enerji kullanımı ülkelerin gelişmişlik düzeyini belirlemede kullanılan en önemli göstergelerden birisidir. Bu çalışmanın amacı, 1960-2015 dönemi yıllık verileri kullanarak Türkiye’de kişi başına enerji kullanımının durağanlığını incelemek ve böylece ekonomik gelişme durumu hakkında bilgi edinebilmektir. Bu amaçla çalışmada geleneksel birim kök testlerinin yanı sıra farklı yapısal değişimleri dikkate alan birim kök testleri kullanılmıştır. Elde edilen sonuçlara göre, gelişmekte olan ülkeler arasında yer alan Türkiye için enerji kullanımı serisinin durağan olmadığı tespit edilmiştir. Böylece enerji kullanımında meydana gelen şokların etkisi kalıcı olduğu belirlenmiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Enerji Kullanımı, Birim Kök Testleri, Yapısal Kırılmalı Birim Kök Testleri

Is Per Capita Energy Use Stationary in Turkey?

Energy use is one of the most important indicators used in determining the level of development of countries. The aim of this study is to investigate the stationarity of per capita energy use based on annual data of Turkey from 1960 to 2015, and, to get information about the economic development situation. For this purpose, unit root tests that take into account different structural changes as well as traditional unit root tests are used in the study. According to the results, the series of energy use for Turkey located between developing countries has not been found to be stable. Thus, it has been determined that the effect of shocks occurring in energy use ispermanent.

Keywords:

Energy Use, Traditional Unit Root Tests, Structural Break Unit Root Tests,

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