Alternati̇f Reservuar Haci̇m Deği̇şi̇mleri̇ni̇n Taşkın Kontrolu Açısından Değerlendi̇rilmesi

Assessment of Flood Control Capabilities for Alternative Reservoir Storage Allocations

Multiple-purpose reservoir system operations are based on the conflicting objections of maximizing storage contents to assure high water supply reliability and maximizing empty storage space to mitigate flood risk. Reallocation of storage capacity between conservation and flood control purposes provides a strategy for optimizing limited available storage capacity in response to growing demands and changing objectives. A modeling and analysis methodology is presented in the article for assessing alternative reservoir storage allocations. Flood control capabilities are evaluated in terms of the probabilities of overtopping the storage capacities of the reservoirs in the system. Water supply capabilities are quantified in terms of reliability metrics. Flood control analysis capabilities are implemented in a modeling system originally created for detailed assessments of water supply capabilities. The methodology is applied to a system of eight multiple-purpose reservoirs in the Dallas and Fort Worth metropolitan area in the Trinity River Basin of Texas in the United States. The generalized modeling system and analysis methods are applicable to reservoir systems located anywhere including systems that may be very complex.

Keywords:

storage reallocation, reservoir system modeling flood frequency analysis, water supply reliability,

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