TÜRKİYE’DE DÖVİZ KURUNUN ENFLASYONİST ETKİLERİ

Bu çalışmanın amacı, vektör otoregresif (vector autoregression: VAR) yöntemi yardımıyla Türkiye’de döviz kuru değişkenliğinin fiyatlar üzerindeki geçiş etkisini analiz etmektir. Ampirik kanıtlara göre, döviz kuru şokları orta ve uzun dönemde fiyatların tahmin hata varyansının yaklaşık %72’ini açıklar. Bu yüzden, döviz kuru ulusal enflasyonun tahmin hata varyansının önemli bir kaynağıdır

Türkiye'de Döviz Kurunun Enflasyonist Etkileri

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