Murat ŞENTUNA, Nilüfer ŞENTUNA, Nurgül ÖZDEMİR, Kaan SERTER

Türkiye Erkekler Basketbol Süper Liginde 2014-2017 yılları arasında oynanan play off maçlarındaki bazı değişkenlerin kazanma ve kaybetmeye olan etkilerinin incelenmesi

Bu araştırmada, Türkiye Basketbol Federasyonu (TBF) tarafından düzenlenen Erkekler Basketbol Süper Ligindeki 2014-2017 yılları arasında oynanan dört sezonun playoff serisi maçları (87 maç) incelenerek maçı kazanma ve kaybetmeye neden olan parametrelerin pozitif ve negatif etkileri araştırıldı. Araştırmada kullanılan veriler TBF tarafından her maç sonrası yayınlanan maç sonu istatistik bilgilerinden elde edildi. Ölçülmüş olan değişkenler (iki sayılık atış yüzdesi, üç sayılık atış yüzdesi, serbest atış yüzdesi, hücum ribaundu, savunma ribaundu, asist, top çalma, top kaybı, blok ve faul sayıları) kazanan ve kaybeden takımlara göre Lojistik Regresyon Analizi test yöntemiyle analiz edildi (P<0,05). Test modelinin uyum iyiliği ise Hosmer and Lemeshow Testi ile ölçüldü (0,853). Modelin açıklayıcı değeri R2=0,7 olarak bulundu. Araştırmanın sonuçlarına göre iki sayılık atış yüzdesi, üç sayılık atış yüzdesi, serbest atış yüzdesi, savunma ribaundu, top çalma ve top kaybı değişkenlerindeki bir birimlik artışın maçın kazanılması ve kaybedilmesi üzerinde anlamlı pozitif ve negatif etkilerinin olduğu bulundu

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Basketbol, kazanan, kaybeden, playoff

INVESTIGATION OF THE EFFECTS OF SELECTED VARIABLES ON WINNING AND LOSING IN TURKISH MEN'S BASKETBALL SUPER LEAGUE PLAYOFF MATCHES PLAYED FROM 2014 TO 2017

In this study, the playoff series matches (87 matches) played during four season between 2014-2017 in the Men's Basketball Super League organized by Turkish Basketball Federation (TBF) examined, and investigated the positive and negative effects of the parameters causing winning and losing the game. The data used in the research were obtained from the statistical data published after each game by TBF. Measured variables (two points throw percentage, three points throw percentage, free throw percentage, offensive rebounds, defensive rebounds, assists, steals, ball losses, block and foul) were analyzed by Logistic Regression Analysis test method according to winning and losing teams (P<0,05). The fit of the test model was measured by the Hosmer and Lemeshow Test (0,853). The explanatory value of the model was found to be R2=0,7. According to the results of the study, a unit increase in the two-point throw percentage, three-point throw percentage, free shot percentage, defensive rebound, steal and ball loses variables were found to have significant positive and negative effects on winning and losing the match

Keywords:

Basketball, winners, losers, playoff,

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