Askerî Harcamalar ve Silah İhracatı Arasında İlişki Var mıdır? 2000-2019 Sürecini Kapsayan Bir Araştırma

Bu çalışmanın amacı, en çok askerî harcama gerçekleştiren otuz ülkenin askerî harcamaları ve silah ihracatı oranları arasındaki ilişkiyi incelemektir. Ampirik çalışma için (Stockholm International Peace Research Institute) SIPRI’den elde edilen, 2000-2019 yılları arasında en çok kümülatif askerî harcama gerçekleştiren 30 ülkeye ait veri seti kullanılmıştır. 30 ülkeye ait Askerî Harcamalar ve Silah İhracatı arasındaki ilişki bu dönemi kapsayacak şekilde Korelasyon Analizi ile test edilmiştir. Korelasyon Analizi sonuçlarına göre 9 ülke için (Türkiye, Çin, Güney Kore, Hindistan, ABD, Avustralya, Rusya, Norveç, ve İspanya) askerî harcamalar ile silah ihracatı arasında aynı yönde anlamlı ilişkiye ulaşılmışken, 18 ülke için (Kolombiya, Tayvan, Suudi Arabistan, Pakistan, İran, Polonya, Brezilya, Singapur, Japonya, Yunanistan, Kanada, İsveç, Hollanda, İsrail, İtalya, Fransa, Almanya, İngiltere) anlamlı bir ilişkiye rastlanmamıştır.

IS THERE ANY RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN MILITARY EXPENDITURE AND ARMS TRANSFER? A RESEARCH FOR THE PERIOD 2000-2019

The objective of this study is to examine whether there exists a relationship between military expenditure (ME) and arms transfer (AT) level of top thirty most military spending countries. For empirical investigation, the data of top thirty countries in cumulative ME consisting of 2000-2019 period has been adopted from Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) official web site (SIPRI, 2020). To explore the association between ME and AT of top thirty countries, Correlation Analysis (CA), which is commonly used for determining relations among variables, has been conducted. The empirical results reveal significant relationships between ME and AT for 9 countries (Turkey, China, South Korea, India, USA, Australia, Russia, Norway, and Spain) with same direction and no significant relationship for other countries (Colombia, Taiwan, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, Iran, Poland, Brazil, Singapore, Japan, Greece, Canada, Sweden, Netherlands, Israel, Italy, France, Germany, and UK).

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