KÜRESEL ISINMANIN KÖTÜ İKİZİ – MAVİ EKONOMİ VE ENDÜSTRİ-İÇİ TİCARET: TÜRKİYE İÇİN ARDL ANALİZİ

Okyanus-deniz asitlenmesi, ülkelere ait mavi ekonomileri tehdit eden önemli bir konudur. Karbondioksit yoğunluğundaki artışlar denizleri giderek asitli hale getirmektedir. Asitlenmedeki artış karbonat doygunluğunun azalmasına ve deniz canlılarının biyolojik açıdan olumsuz etkilenmelerine neden olmaktadır. Asitlenmeye bağlı olarak tüm ekosistemin etkilenmesinin hem toplumsal hem de ekonomik sonuçları bulunmaktadır. Çalışmanın temel amacı Türkiye’nin mavi ekonomi (balıkçılık sektörü için) endüstri-içi ticaret yapısının asitlenmeden etkilenip etkilenmediğini incelemektir. Bu nedenle çalışmada 1990-2019 dönemine ilişkin karbondioksit eşdeğerli toplam sera gazı, reel gayrisafi yurtiçi hâsıla ve Grubel-Lloyd endeks değerleri değişken olarak kullanılmıştır. Değişkenler arası eş bütünleşme ilişkisinin belirlenimi ile kısa-uzun dönemli katsayıların elde edilmesinde ARDL-ECM yönteminden yararlanılmıştır. Yapılan analizlerin sonuçlarına göre; i) Değişkenler arasında eş bütünleşme ilişkisi bulunmaktadır. ii) Uzun dönemde karbondioksit eşdeğerli toplam sera gazındaki artışlar endüstri-içi ticareti arttırmaktadır. iii) Kısa ve uzun dönemde reel gayrisafi yurtiçi hasıladaki artışlar endüstri-içi ticareti arttırmaktadır. Sonuç olarak okyanus-deniz asitlenmesi mavi ekonomilere ait olan endüstri-içi ticareti değiştirebilme gücüne sahiptir.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Mavi Ekonomi, Okyanus Asitlenmesi, Endüstri-içi Ticaret, Grubel-Lloyd Endeksi, Çevre Kirliliği.

THE EVIL TWIN OF GLOBAL WARMING – BLUE ECONOMY AND INTRA-INDUSTRY TRADE: ARDL ANALYSIS FOR TURKIYE

Keywords:

Mavi Ekonomi, Okyanus Asitlenmesi, Endüstri-içi Ticaret, Grubel-Lloyd Endeksi, Çevre Kirliliği.,

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