TÜRKİYE’DE FİRMA BÜYÜKLÜK DAĞILIMININ EVRİMİ

Ekonomi literatüründe evrim genellikle teorik yaklaşımlarla değerlendirilir. Firma dinamiklerinin modellenmesinde karşılaşılan yöntemsel zorluklar işlevsel modeller oluşturmak için kullanılan sıkı varsayımlardan kaynaklanmaktadır. Ajan Bazlı Kompütasyonel modeller evrimsel uygulamalarda yeni bir atılım oluşturabilir. Ancak bu modeller bütüncül verilerin derinlemesine incelenmesi ve açıklanmasına dayanır. Bu çalışmada Türkiye’deki firmaların büyüklük dağılımları evrimci literatüre uygun şekilde yoğunluk tahmin modellemeleri ile detaylı olarak incelenmiştir. Veri büyüklüğü ve kapsayıcılığı açısından literatürde örneği bulunmamaktadır. Modelleme açısından Türk firmalarının kuruldukları dönemin doğasını yansıtıyor olabileceği ya da dönemsel firma karakteristiklerinin muhtemel olduğu gösterilmiştir. Firmaların süreklilik arz eden doğaları gelişmemiş ekonomilerde gözlenen yönetimsel delegasyon eksikliğine de bağlanabilir.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Evrim, Seçilim, Firma Dinamikleri, Firma Büyüklük Dağılımı.

EVOLUTION OF THE FIRM SIZE DISTRIBUTION IN TURKEY

Evolution in economics has been treated mainly as a theoretical journey. The methodological difficulties reside in strict assumptions in order to maintain a tractable model for firm dynamics. Agent-Based Computational modeling could be an important breakthrough for evolutionary applications. However, these models rely on deep interpretations of the complete data. In this study, in depth analysis of Turkish firm level data has been presented with an evolutionary point of view using the method of density estimations. The comprehensiveness of the data is unique to the literature. For modeling purposes, Turkish firms could be seen as representing their birth era. The stagnant nature of firms could also be considered as linked to the lack of managerial delegation in underdeveloped economies.

Keywords:

Evolution, Selection, Firm Dynamics, Firm Size Distribution,

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