FISCAL POLICY AND GROWTH: COMPERATIVE ANALYSIS OF RUSSIA AND THE OTHER POST SOVIET UNION COUNTRIES

After the seperation of the Soviet Union and  the transformation of the economic systems from socialism to capitalism, public policies of old Soviet Nations have also changed. Among these countries, Russia has a special importance due to its economic and fiscal potential and in terms of its inheritance of a strict centralist system.  On the other hand,  aftermath of the scatter of Soviet Union in 1991, Russia met two important economic crises. This study aims to investigate Russian economic and fiscal performance in 1992-2014 after the disintegration and also to compare Old Soviet Nations including 12 countries by using dynamic panel data analysis with the variables of GDP growth, inflation, unemployment, current account balance, public revenues, public expenditures, primary balance, budget balance and public debt. Finally, the study examines the effect of public policies during the transition period on economic growth. 

___

  • Acosta Ormaechea, S. L., & Yoo, J. (2012). “Tax Composition and Growth: A Broad Cross-Country Perspective.”
  • Acosta-Ormaechea, M. S. , & Morozumi, A. (2013). “Can a government enhance long-run growth by changing the composition of public expenditure?” (No. 13-162). International Monetary Fund.
  • Afonso, A., Jalles, J. (2014). “Causality for the government budget and economic growth”, Applied Economics Letters, 21 (17), 1198-1201.
  • Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). “Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations”, The review of economic studies, 58(2), 277-297.
  • Baum, A., Checherita-Westphal, C., & Rother, P. (2013). “Debt and growth: New evidence for the euro area”, Journal of International Money and Finance, 32, 809-821.
  • Baltagi,B., (1996). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data, John Wiley.
  • Barro, R. (1990). “Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogenous Growth”, Journal of Political Economy. 98 (5), 103–S125.
  • Benos,N., (2009). “Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth: EmpricalEvidende From EU Countries”, MPRA Paper.
  • Bergh, A., Henkerson, M., (2011).” Government Size and Growth: A Survey and Interpretation of the Evidence”, Journal of Economic Surveys. 25 (5), 872–897.
  • Cottarelli,C., Jaramillo, L.,(2012).”Walking Hand in Hand: Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth in Advanced Economies, IMF Working Paper, WP/12/137.
  • Dalić, M. (2013). “Fiscal policy and growth in new member states of the EU: a panel data analysis”. Financial theory and practice, 37(4), 335-360.
  • Durevall, D., and Henrekson, M.,(2011). “The Futile Quest for a Grand Explanation of Long-Run Government Expenditure”. Journal of Public Economics, Vol.95, Issues 7-8, 708-722.
  • Easterly, W., & Rebelo, S. (1993). “Fiscal policy and economic growth”. Journal of monetary economics, 32(3), 417-458.
  • Engen, E. M., & Skinner, J. (1992). “Fiscal policy and economic growth” (No. w4223). National Bureau of Economic Research.
  • Glaz'ev, S., & Fetisov, G. (2014). “On a Strategy for Steady Development of the Russian Economy”. Problems of Economic Transition, 56(12), 63-76.
  • Kumar, M. S. , Woo, J., (2010). Public debt and Growth. IMF working paper, wP/10/174, Washington.
  • Mickiewicz, T.M. (2005). “Post-Communist Recessions Re-examined”. School Of Slavonic&East European Studies Working Paper (55) Mohammadi, H., Ram, R.,(2015). “Economic Development and Government Spending: An Exploration of Wagner’s Hypothesis During Fifty Years of Growth In East Asia”,Economies, Vol 3, Issue 4, 150-160.
  • Panizza, U., & Presbitero, A. F. (2012).” Is high public debt harmful for economic growth?.” VoxEU. org, 22.
  • Rautava, J. (2004). “The role of oil prices and the real exchange rate in Russia's economy—a cointegration approach”. Journal of comparative economics, 32(2), 315-327.
  • Popov, V., (2008). “Resurgent Russian Economy: Putin’s Policy without Putin”, International Journal, Spring, 247-261.
  • Ram, R. (1986). “Government Size and Economic Growth: A New Framework and some Evidence from Cross-section and Time-series Data”, American Economic Review. 76 (1), 191–203.
  • Reinhart, C. M., & Rogoff, K. S. (2010). “Growth in a Time of Debt (Digest Summary)”. American Economic Review, 100(2), 573-578.
  • Sancak, E., Karaman, S.C., (2014). “Developments In The Russian Economy In The Post-Soviet Era”. Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 19(4).
  • Sinelnikov, S., & Batkibekov, S. (2006). “Fiscal Policy and International Cooperation in the Russian Federation”. Problems of Economic Transition, 49(2), 34-70.
  • Heston, A., and Summers, R., (1988). "What We Have Learned about Prices and Quantities from International Comparisons: 1987," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(2), 467-73.
  • Wu, S. Y., Tang, J. H., & Lin, E. S. (2010). “The impact of government expenditure on economic growth: How sensitive to the level of development?”. Journal of Policy Modeling, 32(6), 804-817.
  • Zamaraev, B., Kiiutsevskaia, A., Nazarova, A., & Sukhanov, E. (2014). “The Slowdown of Russian Economic Growth”. Problems of Economic Transition, 57(3), 13-56.