Türkiye’de Eğitim Ekonomik Büyümeyi Etkiliyor mu? Nedensellik Analizleriyle Bir İnceleme

Bu çalışmada ekonomik büyüme ve eğitim arasındaki ilişkiler Standart Granger nedensellik, Hsiao’nun Granger nedensellik ve Dolado-Lütkepohl VAR nedensellik yöntemleriyle 1950-2012 dönemi Türkiye ekonomisi için ampirik yönden incelenmiştir. Ekonometrik analizler, ekonomik büyümeden yükseköğretim mezunu sayısına; meslek lisesi ve genel lise mezun sayısından ekonomik büyümeye doğru pozitif bir nedenselliğin olduğunu göstermektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Türkiye, Büyüme, Eğitim, Nedensellik, VAR

Does Education Affect Economic Growth in Turkey? A Causality Analysis

This study attempts to examine empirically the relations between economic growth and education for Turkey in the period from 1950 through 2012 by using Standard Granger causality, Hsiao version of Granger causality and Dolado-Lütkepohl VAR causality analyses. Econometric findings imply that there is one-way (positive) causality from the economic growth to the number of students completing university and one-way (positive) causality from the number of students completing vocational high school and the number of students completing high school to the economic growth.

Keywords:

Turkey, Growth, Education, Causality, VAR,

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