Afrika Ülkelerinde Politik İstikrar ve Ekonomik Büyüme

Bu çalışmanın amacı Afrika ülkelerinde politik istikrar ve ekonomik büyüme arasında nedensellik ilişkisinin olup olmadığının test edilmesidir. Politik istikrardaki bozulma sadece ekonomik büyümeyi değil aynı zamanda gelir dağılımı ve askeri harcamaları da etkilemektedir. Bu yüzden bu çalışmada politik istikrarsızlık, ekonomik büyüme, gelir eşitsizliği ve askeri harcamalar arasındaki ilişkilerin yönünü incelenecektir. 2000-2011 yıllarına ait 52 Afrika ülkesine ait Dünya Bankasının Afrika Gelişmişlik Göstergelerinden elde edilmiş panel data verisi ile Granger Nedensellik testi kullanılarak hipotez test edilmiştir. Test sonuçlarına göre ekonomik büyümeden politik istikrarsızlığa tek yönlü bir ilişki vardır. Politik istikrarsızlık gelir dağılımı ve askeri harcamaları doğrudan etkilerken ekonomik büyümeyi askeri harcamalar üzerinden etkilemektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

, Politik İstikrar, Gelir Dağılımı, Büyüme, Afrika

Political Stability and Economic Growth in Africa

The main aim of this study is to analyze whether there is a causality relation between the political stability and economic growth. Deterioration in political stability has an effect not only on economic growth but also on income distribution and military expenditures. For this reason, in this study it is analyzed the relation among political instability, economic growth, income inequality and military expenditures. Granger Causality Test is used for the panel data which is constructed from World Bank’s Africa Development Indicator for 52 African countries between 2000 and 2011. According to test results, there is one-way relation from economic growth to political instability. Political instability influence income distribution and military expenditures directly while it affects economic growth through military expenditures.

Keywords:

Democracy, Political Stability, Income Distribution, Growth, Africa,

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