G-7 Ülkelerinde Sera Gazı Emisyonu Yakınsaması

İklim krizi, küresel ısınma gibi çevresel bozulmalar ülkeler için en önemli konulardan biridir. Literatürdeki çalışmalar, ülkeler arasındaki çevresel kalite farklılıklarını ortaya koymak için karbondioksit emisyonları, ekolojik ayak izi gibi farklı göstergeler kullanarak çevresel yakınsama hipotezi çerçevesinde çevresel bozulmadaki yakınsamayı incelemektedir. Bu çalışma, 1997-2018 döneminde G-7 ülkeleri için çevresel yakınsama hipotezini test etmektedir. Bunu yapmak için, çevresel bozulmanın bir göstergesi olarak kişi başına düşen sera gazı emisyonları kullanılmakta ve Phillips ve Sul (2007) tarafından geliştirilen doğrusal olmayan dinamik faktör modelini uygulanmaktadır. Ede edilen bulgulara göre ülkeler tek bir denge noktasına yakınsamamaktadır. Bununla birlikte, Phillips ve Sul (2007) yakınsama metodolojisi, olası yakınsama kulüplerinin belirlenmesini sağlamaktadır. Kulüp kümeleme algoritması, her biri farklı bir sabit duruma yakınsayan üç yakınsama kulübü tanımlamaktadır. Kişi başına daha yüksek sera gazı emisyonları seviyesine yakınsayan Club 1, Kanada ve Amerika Birleşik Devletleri'ni içerirken, Kulüp 2 Almanya ve Japonya’yı ve Kulüp 3 Fransa, İtalya ve Birleşik Krallık’ı içermektedir. Elde edilen sonuçlar çevresel yakınsama hipotezinin G-7 ülkeleri için geçerli olmadığını doğrulamaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Yakınsama Hipotezi, Çevresel Yakınsama Hipotezi, Sera Gazı Emisyonu, Log-t Test, G-7 Ülkeleri

The Convergence in Greenhouse Gas Emissions Across G-7 Countries

Environmental degradation, such as climate crisis, global warming, etc., is one of the crucial issues for countries. Studies in the literature analyze the convergence in environmental degradation regarding the environmental convergence hypothesis using different indicators such as carbon dioxide emissions, ecological footprint, etc. to identify the differences in environmental quality across countries. This study tests the environmental convergence hypothesis for G-7 countries over the period 1997-2018. To do so, we use greenhouse gas emissions per capita as an indicator of environmental degradation and apply non-linear dynamic factor model developed by Phillips and Sul (2007). According to the results, countries do not converge to a single equilibrium point. However, Phillips and Sul (2007) convergence methodology allows us to identify possible convergence clubs. The club clustering algorithm identifies three convergence clubs, each converging to a different steady-state. Club 1, which converges to higher greenhouse gas emissions per capita level, includes Canada and United States, whereas Club 2 includes Germany and Japan, and Club 3 includes France, Italy, and the United Kingdom. The results confirm that the that the environmental convergence hypothesis does not hold for G-7 countries.

Keywords:

Convergence Hypothesis , Environmental Convergence Hypothesis, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Log-t Test, G-7 Countries,

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