Mohammed ALNOUR

4016

TÜRKİYE'DE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLE ÇEVRE KİRLİLİĞİ ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ

Bu çalışma, Türkiye'de ekonomik büyüme ile çevre kirliliği arasındaki ilişkiyi araştırmaktadır. Araştırmada, 1970 –2017 arasındaki yıllık zaman serisi verileri kullanılmıştır. Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) ve Phillips-Perron (PP) birim kök testleri kullanılmıştır. Bu ARDL yaklaşımı bir tahmin tekniği olarak kullanılmaktadır. Ayrıca, kirliliği tahmin etmek için klasik katkı ayrıştırma yöntemi kullanılmıştır. Elde edilenbulgulara göre, ekonomik büyümenin kısa vadede çevre kirliliğine olumlu, uzun vadede ise olumlu önemsiz etkiye sahip olduğunu göstermektedir. Uzun vadeli ve kısa vadeli esneklikler karşılaştırıldığında, uzun vadeli esnekliğin, EKC hipoteziningeçerliliğini desteklemeyen kısa vadeli esneklikten daha büyük olduğu bulunmuştur ve Türkiye'de Çevresel Kuznets Eğrisi hipotezinin varlığına karşı kanıt sağlanmaktadır. Çalışma, çevre kirliliğini azaltmak ve gelecek nesillere aktarılacak kaynakların korunmasını sağlamak için sağlam ve etkili çevre politikalarının sıkı bir şekilde uygulanması ve yakından takip edilmesi gerektiğini öne sürmektedir.

THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION IN TURKEY

This study examines the relationship between economic growth and environmentalpollution in Turkey. The research uses annual time series data from 1970 to 2017. AugmentedDickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron (PP) unit root tests were used to test the stationarity of theseries. In this the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model is used as an estimation technique.Furthermore, the classical additive decomposition method was used to forecast the pollution. Theresults indicate that economic growth has a positive significant effect on environmental pollution inthe short-run and positive but insignificant effect in the long-run. When the long-run and short-runelasticities were compared it is found that the long-run elasticity is greater than the short-runelasticity which challenges the validity of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis andprovides evidence against its existence in Turkey. The paper suggests that robust and effectiveenvironmental policies should be strictly implemented and closely monitored to reduce theenvironmental pollution and to ensure the preservation of resources for future generations.
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Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi-Cover
  • ISSN: 1301-3688
  • Yayın Aralığı: Yılda 3 Sayı
  • Başlangıç: 1981
  • Yayıncı: -
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TÜRKİYE'DE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLE ÇEVRE KİRLİLİĞİ ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ

Mohammed ALNOUR