Türkiye İllerinde Şehirleşme Dinamiklerinin “Üretim” ve “Tüketim” Şehirleri Yaklaşımına Göre Analizi

Son yıllarda Türkiye özelinde şehirleşme dinamiklerinin, iller düzeyinde analizi de önem kazanmıştır. Buradan hareketle çalışma, şehirleşme eğilimlerini NUTS 3 düzeyinde tartışılması amaçlanmaktadır. Bu kapsamda, özellikle GSYH sektörel katma değer payları ile hava kalitesi verisi (PM10) üzerinde durularak şehirleşme dinamikleri analiz edilmektedir. İlgili yazında bir şehrin “üretim” ya da “tüketim” temelli olarak tanımlanması, ticarete konu olan ve olmayan sektörlere sahip olması ile ilgili olarak açıklanmaktadır. Buna bağlı olarak, Türkiye illerinin şehirleşme dinamiklerinin, “üretim” ya da “tüketim” şehirleri olarak farklılık gösterip göstermediği, çevre koşullarının ne ölçüde farklılaştığı yanıtlanmaya çalışılmaktadır. Bu amaçla, 2010-2020 arası dönemde, ilgili verileri NUTS 3 düzeyinde sınamak amacı ile Panel VAR(Vektör Otoregresyon) analizi kullanılmıştır. Temel bulgular, Türkiye illerindeki şehirleşme dinamiklerinin sadece sanayileşme olgusuyla açıklanamayacağını göstermektedir. Şehirleşme, farklı sektörel kapsamlarla ortaya çıkmakta, ayrıca şehirleşme dinamikleri hizmet ve inşaat sektörlerini etkilemektedir.

Analysis of Urbanization Dynamics in Turkey’s Provinces Based on “Production” and “Consumption” Cities Approach

In recent years, analysis of urbanization dynamics in Turkey at the provincial level has become more important. Given that, the paper aims to discuss urbanization trends at the NUTS 3 level. In this context, urbanization dynamics are analyzed by focusing on sectoral value-added shares in GDP and air quality data (PM10). The approaches related to the classification of the cities- either as a “production” or “consumption”- depending on cities’ owning tradeable and non-tradeable sectors is considered. Accordingly, the urbanization dynamics of Turkey’s provinces and to what extent environmental conditions differ would be investigated. The panel VAR (Vector Autoregressive Regression) analysis is used for the relevant data on the NUTS 3 level for the period of 2010-2020. The main findings indicate that the urbanization dynamics in Turkey’s provinces cannot be explained only by the industrialization phenomenon. Urbanization occurs with different sectoral compositions additionally urbanization dynamics impacts services and construction sectors.

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