Merve ARSLAN, Özerk YAVUZ, Serdar KUZU, İsmail Erkan ÇELİK

Makine Öğrenme Yöntemi ile Bitcoin Piyasasının Geleceğinin Araştırılması: Türkiye Örneğinde Uygulama

Tarihsel süreç içerisinde değişen ihtiyaçlar ve teknolojik gelişmeler doğrultusunda paranın farklı şekiller aldığı görülmektedir. Son zamanlarda kripto para birimleri hayatımıza dahil olmuştur ve Bitcoin bu para birimlerinden birisidir. Bitcoin, kriptografik teknikler kullanarak ve merkezi bir otoritenin kontrolüne ihtiyaç duymadan çalışan dijital bir para birimidir. Teknolojik gelişmeler sonucunda yeni bir parasal araç olarak hayatımıza giren ve para birimlerine alternatif olacağı tahmin edilen Bitcoin'e ilginin arttığı görülmektedir. Bu makalede yöntem olarak yapay zekânın bir dalı olan makine öğrenmesi yöntemi kullanılmıştır. Türkiye örneğinde bitcoinin 2016 yılı günlük kapanış verileri kullanılmıştır. Bu çalışma ile Makine öğrenmesi yöntemi kullanılarak, Bitcoin piyasasının kapanış fiyatlarının tahmin edilmesi amaçlanmaktadır. Makine öğrenmesi yöntemi Bitcoin piyasasının nasıl şekilleneceğine dair bazı kurallar üretilmiş ve analiz kısmında bu sonuçlara yer verilmiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Para, Kripto Para, Bitcoin, Yapay Zekâ, Makine Öğrenmesi

RESEARCHING THE FUTURE OF BITCOIN MARKET WITH MACHINE LEARNING METHOD: ANAPPLICATION ON THE CASE OF TURKEY

It is seen that money takes different forms in line with the changing needs and technological developments throughout the historical process. Recently, cryptocurrencies have been included in our lives with Bitcoin. Bitcoin is a digital currency that functions using cryptographic techniques and without the need for the control of a central authority. As a result of technological developments, it is seen that the interest in Bitcoin, which has entered our lives as a new monetary tool and is predicted to be an alternative to currencies, is increasing. In this article, the machine learning method, which is a branch of artificial intelligence, is used as a method. In the example of Turkey, the daily closing data of bitcoin for 2016 were used. The machine learning method is aimed to predict the closing prices of the bitcoin market.According to the analysis findings, it is seen that the closing prices realized in the 4th quarter are higher than the closing prices realized in the 1st quarter. If the volume USD is higher than 5517.34 then it is Q1. Some rules have been produced with the Machine Learning method.It is aimed to contribute to the literature by using themachine learning method for predicting Bitcoin closing prices.

Keywords:

Money, Cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, Artificial Intelligence,

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