Gelişmekte Olan Ülkelerde Borsa Getirileri, Net Yabancı Alımları ve Döviz Kurları Arasındaki İlişki

Çalışmada, gelişmekte olan altı ülkenin borsa getirileri, döviz kurları ve net yabancı alımları arasındaki ilişkiler, 2008-2019 dönemi haftalık verileriyle, Sınır Testi ve ARDL yöntemiyle incelenmiştir. Uzun dönemde; Hindistan ve G. Afrika’da “uncovered equity parity”’nin geçerli olduğu, Türkiye’de borsa ile döviz kuru arasında pozitif ilişki bulunurken, Brezilya’da yabancıların “portföy yeniden dengeleme” stratejisini takip ettikleri görülmüştür. Kısa dönemdeyse; tüm borsalarda getiriler arttığında net yabancı alımları da artmaktadır. Yani yabancılar tüm ülkelerde “getiri peşinde olma” stratejisini izlemektedir. Elde edilen bulgulara göre; portföy yöneticilerinin, gelişmekte olan ülkeleri tek bir sepet olarak görmeyip, yönettikleri portföylerde her ülke için farklı stratejiler geliştirmelerinin, portföy performanslarına olumlu katkı sağlayacağı düşünülmektedir.

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