SOĞUK SAVAŞ’IN BARIŞÇIL OLARAK SONA ERMESİ VE ULUSLARARASI İLİŞKİLER TEORİLERİ

Bu makale, Soğuk Savaş’ın sonunun Uluslararası İlişkiler teorileri tarafından neden öngörülmediğini incelemektedir. Soğuk Savaş’ın sonu Uluslararası İlişkiler teorileri açısından iki açıdan beklenmeyendi. Birincisi çift kutuplu yapının sürdürülmesi beklenirken bu yapının dönüşmesi ve ikincisi de bu dönüşümün barışçıl olmasıydı. Uluslararası İlişkiler teorilerinin Soğuk Savaş’ın sonunu öngörememesinin bu alanda Realizm ve özellikle Neo-realizmin hakimiyetiyle ilgili olduğu ileri sürülmektedir. Bu nedenle özellikle Neo-realizmin temel varsayımları ve Soğuk Savaş’a bakışı değerlendirilmiştir. Dönüşümün barışçıl olmasının ise Neo-realizmin savaş ile ilgili varsayımlarıyla ve genel mantığıyla bağdaşmadığı fikri savunulacaktır. Bunun yanında Neo-realizmin hakimiyetinin benimsediği pozitivist bilim felsefesiyle ve özellikle ABD’nin dünya politikasındaki konumuyla yakından ilişkili olduğu ve bu nedenle düzenin devamlılığını, yani “uzun barış”ı açıklamaya odaklanırken değişim olanaklarının görmezlikten gelinmesine neden olduğu da ayrıca gösterilmeye çalışılacaktır. Son olarak Soğuk Savaş’ı sona erdiren süreçle ilgili ortaya atılan farklı görüşler tartışılarak, bu sonun Neo-realizmin bakmayı reddettiği etkenlerden kaynaklandığı gösterilecektir.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Soğuk Savaş’ın sonu, uluslararası ilişkiler teorileri, ABD, realizm/neo-realizm, savaş

Soğuk Savaş’ın barışçıl olarak sona ermesi ve uluslararası ilişkiler teorileri

This article focuses on the failure of International Relations theories to anticipate the end of the Cold War. The end of the Cold War regarding International Relations theories was unexpected in two ways. The bipolar structure was resolved and transformed while it was thought to endure and secondly this trasformation come out to be peaceful. It is argued that the failure to anticipate the end of the Cold War by theories of International Relations is primarily related to the dominance of Realism and especially neorealism on this subject. Thus, this paper is focused especially on the central assumptions of neo-realism and its view of the Cold War. The peaceful end is argued to be inconsistent with assumptions of neo-realism about war as well as its general logic. Besides, it will be shown that the dominance of neo-realism is closely related to its commitment to positivism and especially the US position in world politics, thus the focus given to explain the endurance of the order or the “long peace” caused to overlook the possibilities for change. Finally after discussing different views about the process of ending the Cold War, it will be shown that this end was caused by factors necglected by Neo-realism.

Keywords:

The End of the Cold War, international relations theories, USA, realism/neo-realism, war,

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