2017

Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırımın Belirleyicisi Olarak Göçün Etkilerine Farklı Bir Bakış: Türkiye ve OECD Ülkeleri Üzerine Panel Çekim Modelinden Bulgular

Bu çalışma, Türkiye ve OECD ülkeleri arasındaki Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırım akışları üzerinde göçün etkisini incelemeyi amaçlamaktadır. Bu amaçla, çalışma 2003-2019 dönemini kapsayan verileri kullanmaktadır. Panel Çekim Modelinde değişen varyansın ve içe dönük DYY’lerde büyük sayıda olmayan sıfır gözlem değerlerinin varlığında etkin sonuçlar sunan PPML tahmin yöntemi uygulamaktadır. Bununla birlikte, dışa doğru DYY’ler, aşırı dağılıma ve aşırı sıfır değerine sahip olan dışa doğru DYY verileri nedeniyle ZINB modeli kullanılarak tahmin edilmektedir. Sonuçlar, Türkiye'den OECD'ye giden göçmenlerin DYY’ler üzerindeki etkisinin, OECD'den Türkiye'ye gelen göçmenlere göre daha etkili olduğunu göstermektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Göç, Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırım, PPML Tahmin Yöntemi

Another Perspective of The Effects of Migration as A Determinant of Foreign Direct Investment: Evidence-Based on Panel Gravity Model from Turkey and OECD Countries

This paper aims to investigate the impact of immigration on FDI between Turkey and OECD countries. The paper uses data spanning the period 2003-2019. There is employed PPML estimation method which presented efficient output in the presence of heteroskedasticity and non-large zero values of inward FDI in Panel Gravity Model. However, outward FDI is estimated using the ZINB model for outward FDI data has overdispersion and excess zero flows. The results show that immigrant flows to OECD from Turkey on the FDI flows are relatively more effective than the immigrant flows to Turkey from OECD.

Keywords:

Migration, Foreign Direct Investment, PPML Estimation Method,

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