Türkiye’de Sağlık Harcamaları ile Yolsuzluk Arasındaki Dinamik İlişkinin ARDL Yaklaşımıyla İncelenmesi

Sağlık, insanlığın en önemli değerlerinden biridir. Aynı zamanda ekonomik kalkınma ve refah için bir ön koşuldur. Sağlık sektörü, karmaşık yapısı nedeniyle küresel düzeyde yolsuzluğun en yaygın olduğu alanlardan biridir. Araştırmalar yolsuzluğun sağlık harcamalarına ve hizmetlerine zarar verdiğini gösteriyor. Bu çalışmada, 1984'ten 2019'a kadar Dünya Bankası, PRS/ICRG ve IMF'den alınan verileri analiz etmek için otoregresif dağıtılmış gecikme (ARDL) ve dinamik hata düzeltme modeli (ECM) kullanılmıştır. Bulgular, yolsuzluğun Türkiye'de uzun ve kısa dönemde sağlık harcamalarını ve hizmetlerini olumsuz etkilediğini göstermektedir. Uzun dönemde reel GSYİH büyümesi ile sağlık harcamaları arasında negatif bir ilişki vardır. Ayrıca, kısa vadede CO2 emisyonları ile sağlık harcamaları arasında pozitif bir ilişki olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Çalışmamızda enflasyon ile sağlık harcamaları arasında kısa dönemde gecikmeli bir değerle negatif bir ilişki olduğu gözlemlenmektedir. Türkiye'de sağlık hizmetlerinin ve harcamalarının kalitesinin artırılması için etkin sağlık politikaları uygulanmalı ve yolsuzlukla mücadeleye önem verilmelidir.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Yolsuzluk, Sağlık Harcaması, Reel Gayri Safi Yurt İçi Hasıla, CO2 emisyonu, Enflasyon

Investigation of The Dynamic Relationship Between Health Expenditures and Corruption in Turkey through The ARDL Approach

Health is one of the most crucial values of humanity. It is also a prerequisite for economic development and prosperity. Because of its complex structure, the healthcare sector is one area where corruption is most prevalent at the global level. Research shows that corruption harms healthcare expenditures and services. This study used autoregressive distributed delay (ARDL) and dynamic error correction model (ECM) to analyze data from the World Bank, PRS/ICRG, and IMF from 1984 to 2019. The findings show that corruption negatively affected health expenditures and services in Turkey in the long and short run. There is a negative relationship between real GDP growth and health expenditures in the long run. In addition, it was determined that there is a positive relationship between CO2 emissions and health expenditures in the short term. In our study, some observe that there is a negative relationship between inflation and health expenditures in the short run, with a lagged value. To increase the quality of health services and expenditures in Turkey, effective health policies should be implemented and the fight against corruption should be given importance.

Keywords:

Corruption, Health Expenditures, Real GDP, CO2 Emissions, Inflation.,

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