Consequences of Oil and Food Price Shocks on the Ecuadorian Economy

Consequences of Oil and Food Price Shocks on the Ecuadorian Economy

In this study, I investigated the short run impact on macroeconomics variables in Ecuador, economic growth and inflation specifically, due to world oil price and global food price shocks, considered these last two, as external variables. The model used to explain the dynamic of variables was the structural vector autoregression (SVAR), with annual data from 1980 to 2015. I concluded that oil price shocks affect positively to economic growth in Ecuador during two consecutive years, and then it returns to its natural state gradually. No enough statistically significant evidence was found, to conclude the global food index affect economic growth or inflation in Ecuador. Inflation neither showed significant response to oil price shocks. Considering the small sample in this study, due to unavailability of domestic economic data, the model resulted stable, and it is in line with arguments from other authors. Oil price shocks are a very important variable to keep watching, as Ecuador still depends on it, any government macroeconomic policy should be focus to it.
International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy-Cover
  • Başlangıç: 2011
  • Yayıncı: İlhan ÖZTÜRK
Sayıdaki Diğer Makaleler

The Relationship between Energy Consumption, Economic Growth and Carbon Dioxide Emission: The Case of South Africa

Hlalefang Bernedict Khobai, Pierre Le Roux

Oil Price and Employment Nexus in Saudi Arabia

Tarek Tawfik Yousef ALKHATEEB, Haider MAHMOOD, Zafar Ahmad SULTAN, Nawaz AHMAD

Revisiting the Income, Energy Consumption and Carbon Emissions Nexus: New Evidence from Quantile Regression for Different Country Groups

Yaya KEHO

Annulment of Oil Licences in Nigeria’s Upstream Petroleum Sector: A Legal Critique of the Costs and Benefits

Olusola Joshua OLUJOBİ, Olabode Adeleke OYEWUNMİ

Dependence of the Russian Economy on Oil Prices in the Context of Volatility of the Global oil Market: Articulation of Issue

Elena Vladimirovna Pavlova, Irina Albertovna Duborkina, Antonina Pavlovna Sokolova, Irina Gennadiyevna Doronkina, Elena Evgeniyevna Konovalova

Competitiveness of Renewable Energy Sources on the Liberalized Electricity Market in South Eastern Europe Countries

Saša ŽİKOVİĆ, İvan GRŽETA

Economies of Scale, Technical Change, and Total Factor Productivity Growth of the Saudi Electricity Sector

Mohammed Al-Mahish

A Review on Carbon Emissions in Malaysian Cement Industry

B. BAKHTYAR, Tarek KACEMİ, Md Atif NAWAZ

On the Dynamics of Energy-growth Nexus: Evidence from a World Divided into Four Regions

Luís Miguel Marques, José Alberto Fuinhas, António Cardoso Marques

Multivariate Cointegration and Causality between Electricity Consumption, Economic Growth, Foreign Direct Investment and Exports: Recent Evidence from Vietnam

Tuyen Ngoc NGUYEN, Winai WONGSURAWAT