Selen Avcı, Zerrin Aladağ, Gözde Şen, Elif Demirel

COVID-19 ölüm oranında etkili olan risk faktörlerinin Dematel yöntemi ile incelenmesi

Dünya, 2020 yılı başından itibaren insan sağlığı için ciddi bir tehdit oluşturan Covid-19 ile karşı karşıya kalmıştır. Covid-19 kaynaklı ölümler üzerinde etkili faktörlerin belirlenmesi virüsle mücadele kapsamında oldukça önemli olup birçok araştırmaya konu olmuştur. Çok ölçütlü karar verme yöntemleri, karar problemi üzerinde etkili olabilecek tüm faktörleri birlikte değerlendirme olanağı sağlayarak karar vericinin etkin sonuca ulaşmasını destekleyen yöntemlerdir. Bu çalışmada, Covid-19 hastalığının risk grubunu oluşturan faktörler çok ölçütlü karar verme yapısına uygun olarak incelenmiştir. Bir problemi etkileyen faktörlerin etkileme gücünü ölçebilen yöntemlerden biri olan DEMATEL (Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory) yöntemi yardımıyla genel kabul görmüş faktörlerin farklı bir açıdan değerlendirilmesi amaçlanmıştır. Literatürden çalışmanın amacına uygun veriler derlenmiş ve çeşitli kaynaklarda referans olarak verilen faktörler tespit edilmiştir. Ölümler üzerinde etkili olduğu bilinen bu risk faktörlerinin farklı eşik değerleri için sayısal analizleri yapılarak birbirlerini etkileme düzeyleri araştırılmıştır. Eşik değerler belirlenirken virüsün yayılma seyri olan göz önünde bulundurulmuş ve farklı periyotlar için uygulanacak stratejiler bakımından baz alınabilecek sonuçlar üzerinde durulmuştur. Son olarak, çok ölçütlü analiz sonuçları DEMATEL yönteminin temel prensiplerine uygun olarak yorumlanmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Covid-19, risk faktörleri, DEMATEL, çok kriterli karar verme (ÇKKV)

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