OTOREGRESIF ARBİTRAJ FİYATLAMA VE SERMAYE VARLIKLARINI FİYATLANDIRMA MODELLERİNİN KARŞILAŞTIRILMASI: TÜRKİYE’DEKİ BANKACILIK SEKTÖRÜ İÇİN BİR UYGULAMA
Bu çalışmada, otoregresif arbitraj fiyatlama ve otoregresif sermaye varlıklarını fiyatlama modelleri, Türkiye’deki bankacılık sektörünün hisse senedi getirilerinin haftalık verileri kullanılarak birbiriyle kıyaslanmıştır. Bu çerçevede 5 bankanın hisse senedi getirileri araştırılmıştır. Çalışma kapsamındaki analiz sonuçlarına göre, otoregresif arbitraj fiyatlama modelinin ve otoregresif sermaye varlıklarını fiyatlama modelinin hisse senedi getirilerini tahmin ederken benzer sonuçlar ürettiği sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Ayrıca, bir banka haricinde diğer bankaların getiri oranlarını açıklamada, birinci dereceden otoregresif değişken katsayısı her iki modelde de anlamlı çıkmamıştır.
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