Contagious effect of COVID-19 Pandemic by High Speed Train Transportation in Turkey

The transportation sector was affected by the covid 19 pandemic all over the world. In this study, the relationship between the passenger density at high-speed train points and the spread of the covid 19 epidemic was examined. In addition, the temporal situation of the pandemic was examined by evaluating based on a year and month. In this context, high-speed train passenger movement is mathematically modelled using regression analysis. Strong relation between number of patient and number of passenger. As a result, it was observed that the number of patients increased as the number of passengers increased. In order to limit the epidemic, it may be recommended to increase measures especially in transportation centres.

Keywords:

Transportation, Covid 19, Risk of covid transmission, High speed train Regression,

PDF

___

[1] Li, Q., Guan, X., Wu, P. Early transmission dynamics in Wuhan, China, of novel coronavirus-infected pneumonia. N Engl J Med., 29, 2020. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2001316.
[2] Zhu, N., Zhang, D.,Wang, W., Li, X., Yang, B., Song, J., Zhao, X., et al. A Novel Coronavirus from Patients with Pneumonia in China. The New England Journal of Medicine, 382, 727-733, 2019. DOI: 10.1056 / NEJMoa2001017.
[3] Kang, D., Choia, H., Kimb, C.H., Choic, J. Spatial epidemic dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China. International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 2020. doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.03.076.
[4] Satici, B.G., Tekin, E, Deniz, M.E, Satici, S.A. Adaptation of the Fear of COVID-19 Scale: Its Association with Psychological Distress and Life Satisfaction in Turkey. International Journal of Mental Health and Addiction, 2020.
[5] Erkek, E. E. and Çabuk, S. N. COVID-19 Pandemi Sürecinde Toplu Ulaşım Sistemlerinin Değerlendirilmesi. GSI Journals Serie B: Advancements in Business and Economics, 3(2), 17-31, 2021.
[6] Litman, T. Pandemic - Resilient Community Planning. The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, 27p., 2020. https://www.vtpi.org/PRCP.pdf.
[7] Lak, A., Shakouri Asl, S. and Maher, A. Resilient Urban Form to Pandemics: Lessons From COVID-19. Medical Journal of The Islamic Republic of Iran (MJIRI), 34(1), 502–509, 2020. https://doi.org/10.34171/MJIRI.34.71
[8] Rodrigue, J.-P., Comtois, C. and Slack, B. The Geography of Transport Systems. In The Geography of Transport Systems, 2013. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315618159-8
[9] Meyer, M. and Elrahman, O. Transportation and Public Health. In Transportation and Public Health, 201–253, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-816774-8.00008-6
[10] Chechulin, D., Melnikov, L. and Pokotilo, V. Reopening Cities After COVID-19. McKinsey & Company, July, 2020.
[11] Betkier, I. Safety of Urban Transport Users During The Covıd-19 Pandemic. July, 2020.
[12] Qian, X., Sun, L., & Ukkusuri, S. V. Scaling of Contact Networks for Epidemic Spreading in Urban Transit Systems, 24–26, 2020. http://arxiv.org/abs/2002.03564.
[13] Yılmaz, V., Arı, E. The effects of service quality, image, and customer satisfaction on customer complaints and loyalty in high-speed rail service in Turkey: a proposal of the structural equation model, Transportmetrica A: Transport Science, 2324-9943, 2016.
[14] Ai, B., Cheng, X., Kürner, T., Zhong, Z.D., Guan, K., He, R.S. Challenges toward wireless communications for high-speed railway. Iee Transactıons on İntellegent Transportation Systems, 15, 5, 2014.
[15] Alpar, R. Uygulamalı Çok Değişkenli İstatistiksel Yöntemlere Giriş I, Nobel Yayın Dağıtım, 408, 2013.
[16] Atalay, A, Türkiye’deki Trafik Kazalarının Mekansal ve Zamansal Analizi. Ph.D. Thesis, Atatürk University, Erzurum, 2010.
[17] Ünver, Ö., Gamgam, H. Uygulamalı Temel İstatistik Yöntemler, Seçkin Kitapevi, 424, 2008.