Orta Gelir Tuzağından Çıkış Stratejisi Bağlamında İnovasyonun Etkisinin Ampirik Analizler ile Test Edilmesi

Bu çalışmada, orta gelir tuzağından çıkış amacıyla inovasyonun etkisinin ölçülmesi amaçlanmaktadır. Bu çerçevede, seçilen ülkeler Robertson ve Ye 2013 ’nin yaklaşımına göre, orta gelir tuzağında olan MIT-Brezilya, Meksika, Malezya ve Türkiye ve orta gelir tuzağından kaçan NMIT-Güney Kore, Portekiz, Singapur ve Yunanistan ülkeler olmak üzere iki gruba ayrılmıştır. Yapılan çalışmada, inovasyonun etkisinin tespit edilmesi amacıyla, PCA yöntemi ile hesaplanan ve 27 farklı inovasyon göstergesinden oluşan “Hesaplanan İnovasyon Endeksi- HII ” ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişki II. Nesil Panel Veri Analiz yöntemi ile test edilmektedir. Elde edilen sonuçlara göre, NMIT ülkelerinin ekonomik büyümeleri, HII’den, MIT grubundaki ülkelere göre çok daha yüksek oranda etkilenmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Orta Gelir Tuzağı, İnovasyon, Hesaplanan İnovasyon Endeksi, Panel Veri Analiz Yöntemi

Testing the Effects of Innovation with Empirical Analysis in the Context of Middle Income Trap Strategy

This study aims to measure the effect of innovation to avoid the middle income trap. In this framework, we divided countries into two groups following the work of Robertson and Ye 2013 : countries in middle income trap MIT- Brazil, Mexico, Malaysia and Turkey and countries avoid the middle income trap NMITSouth Korea, Portugal, Singapore and Greece . The relationship between "Calculated Innovation Index HII " calculated by PCA method and consisting of 27 different innovation indicators and economic growth examined employing Second Generation Panel Data Method. The results show that NMIT countries are more affected by HII than countries in MIT

Keywords:

Middle Income Trap, Innovation, Calculated Innovation Index, Second Generation Panel Data Method.,

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