THE SEGMENT STRUCTURE OF SOUTHERN BRANCH OF THE NORTH ANATOLIAN FAULT AND PALEOSEISMOLOGICAL BEHAVIOUR OF THE GEMLİK FAULT, NW ANATOLIA

The North Anatolian Fault (NAF), which is an intra-continental transform fault, is divided into two branches as Northern and Southern branches in Marmara Region. The southern branch which separates from each other by rightward stepovers between Bandırma and Dokurcun valley is formed by three main fault segments as Geyve, İznik and Gemlik from East to West. The length of fault segments ranges between 40 and 57 km and GPS data in Southern branch propose a 5 mm/year slip rate. Two surface faulting events were observed during paleoseismological excavations which had been carried out on 40 km long Gemlik segment and these can be correlated with earthquakes that occurred in 1857 and 1419. The recurrence interval between the last two earthquakes in Gemlik Fault is 438 years. Findings indicate that Gemlik fault was also included into surface faulting of the earthquake in 1419 which its presence is known in İznik fault. At least 95 km long multi-segment surface faulting developed in this earthquake. Based on 5 mm/years slip rate, the cumulative offset amount slip rate of NAF was approximately estimated as 3 meters in 595 years in region between İznik Lake and Dokurcun Valley. Accordingly; it can be stated that the southern branch of the North Anatolian Fault has a potential to trigger a large earthquake as well as the Northern branch

___

  • Alpar, B., Çizmeci, S. 1999. Seismic hazard assessment in the Gemlik Bay region following the 17 August Kocaeli Earthquake. Turkish Journal of Marine Sciences 5, 3, 149-166.
  • Ambraseys, N.N. 1970. Some characteristic features of the North Anatolian Fault. Tectonophysics 9, 143-165. Ambraseys, N.N. 1988. Engineering seismology. Journal of Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics 17, 1-105.
  • Ambraseys, N.N. 2002. The seismic activity of the Marmara Sea region over the last 2000 years. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 92, 1, 1-18.
  • Ambraseys, N.N., Finkel, C.F. 1991. Long term seismicity of İstanbul and of the Marmara region. Terra Nova 3, 527-539.
  • Ambraseys, N.N., Jackson, J.A. 1998. Faulting associated with historical and recent earthquakes in the Eastern Mediterranean region. Geophysical Journal International 133, 390-406.
  • Ambraseys, N.N., Jackson, J.A. 2000. Seismicity of the Sea of Marmara (Turkey) since 1500. Geophysical Journal International 141, F1-F6.
  • Armijo, R., Meyer, B., Hubert, A. and Barka, A. 1999. Westward propagation of the North Anatolian fault into the northern Aegean: Timing and kinematics. Geology, 27, 3, 267–270.
  • Armijo, R., Meyer, B., Navarro, S., King, G. and Barka, A. 2002. Asymmetric slip partitioning in the Sea of Marmara pull-apart: a clue to propagation processes of the North Anatolian Fault? Terra Nova 14, 2, 80-86.
  • Barka, A.A. 1992. The North Anatolian Fault. Annales Tectonicae 6, 174-195.
  • Barka, A.A. 1997. Neotectonics of the Marmara region. In: Schindler, C., Pfister, M. (Eds.), Active Tectonics of Northwestern Anatolia-The Marmara Poly- Project, vdf Hochschulverlag AG an der ETH Zürich, 55-87.
  • Barka, A.A., Kadinsky-Cade, K. 1988. Strike-slip fault geometry in Turkey and its influence on earthquake activity. Tectonics 7, 3, 663-684.
  • Barka, A.A., Kuşçu, İ. 1996. Extents of the North Anatolian Fault in the İzmit, Gemlik and Bandirma bays. Turkish Journal of Marine Sciences 2, 93-106.
  • Bilgin, T. 1968. Samanli Dağlari. İst. Üniv. Coğ. Enst. Yayl. 50, 196 s.
  • Bronk Ramsey, C. 1998. Radiocarbon Calibration and Analysis of Stratigraphy: the OxCal Program. Radiocarbon, 37, 425-430.
  • Doğan, B., Tüysüz, O. 2011. Kuzey Anadolu Fay Sistemi Güney Kolunun Geyve-Gemlik arasindaki kesiminin tektonostratigrafik evrimi. İtü dergisi/d, Mühendislik, 10/4, 107-118.
  • Emre, Ö., Erkal, T., Tchepalyga, A., Kazanci, N., Keçer, M., Ünay, E. 1998. Neogene-Quaternary evolution of the Eastern Marmara Region, Northwest Turkey. Bulletin of the Mineral Research and Exploration, 120, 119-145.
  • Emre, Ö., Sugai, T., Doğan, A., Özalp, S., Okuno, M., Yildirim, C., Masaaki, Y. 2002. Paleoseismological findings on the penultimate faulting of the Arifiye segment; 1999 İzmit earthquake, North Anatolian Fault. Eos Transactions AGU 83, 47, Fall Meet. Suppl., F1015.
  • Emre, Ö., Awata, Y. 2003. Neotectonic characteristics of the North Anatolian Fault System in the eastern Marmara region. In: Emre, Ö., Awata, Y., Duman, T.Y. (Eds.), Surface Rupture Associated with the August 17, 1999 İzmit Earthquake. General Directorate of Mineral Research and Exploration of Turkey, Special Publication Series: 1, 31-39, Ankara.
  • Emre, Ö., Doğan, A., Yildirim, C., Şaroğlu, F. 2005. Active fault pattern and bend kinematics in NW Anatolia. International Symposium on the Geodynamics of Eastern Mediterranean: Active Tectonics of the Aegean Region, 15-18 June 2005, Kadir Has University, Abstracts, p. 98, İstanbul, Turkey. 14
  • Emre. Ö., Doğan, A., Özalp, S., Yildirim, C. 2011a. 1:250.000 Ölçekli Türkiye Diri Fay Haritasi Bandirma (NK 35-11b) Paftasi. MTA 1:250.000 Ölçekli Diri Fay Haritaları Serisi, Seri No: 3, 55 s., Ankara.
  • Emre. Ö., Doğan, A., Duman, T.Y., Özalp, S. 2011b. 1:250.000 Ölçekli Türkiye Diri Fay Haritasi Serisi, Bursa (NK 35-12) Paftasi. Seri No: 9, Maden Tetkik ve Arama Genel Müdürlüğü, Ankara.
  • Emre, Ö., Duman, T.Y., Özalp, S., Elmaci, H., Olgun, Ş., Şaroğlu, F., 2013. Açiklamali Türkiye Diri Fay Haritasi, Ölçek 1:1.250.000. Maden Tetkik ve Arama Genel Müdürlüğü, Özel Yayın Serisi: 30, 89 s., Ankara.
  • Erdik, M., Demircioğlu, M., Sesetyan, K., Durukal, E., Siyahi, B. 2004. Earthquake hazard in Marmara Region. Turkey. Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, 24, 605–631.
  • Ergin, K., Güçlü, U., Uz, Z. 1967. Türkiye ve civarinin deprem kataloğu (Milattan Sonra 11 yilindan 1964 sonuna kadar). İTÜ, Maden Fakültesi, Arz Fiziği Enstitüsü Yayınları, No: 24, 169s.
  • Ergin, M., Özalaybey, S., Aktar, M.T., Tapirdamaz, C., Yörük, A., Biçmen, F. 2000. Aftershock analysis of the August 17, 1999 İzmit, Turkey, Earthquake. Barka, A., Kozaci, Ö., Akyüz, S., Altunel, E. (Eds.), The 1999 İzmit and Düzce earthquakes: preliminary results. İstanbul Technical Univ. Press, İstanbul, pp. 171-178.
  • Eyidoğan, H., Haessler, H., Polat, O., Cisternas, A., Gürbüz, C., Frogneux, M., Aktar, M., Üçer, B., Bouchon, M., Comte, D., Philip, H., Kaypak, B., Ergin, M., Karabulut, H., Akinci, A., Kuleli, S., Yörük, A. 2000. August 17, 1999, Kocaeli (İzmit) Earthquake: before, during and after. In: Barka, A., Kozaci, Ö., Akyüz, S., Altunel, E. (Eds.), The 1999 İzmit and Düzce earthquakes: preliminary results. İstanbul Technical Univ. Press, İstanbul, pp. 161-169.
  • Guidoboni, E., Comastri, A., Traina, G. 1994. Catalogue of ancient earthquakes in the Mediterranean area up to the 10th century. Instituto Nazionale di Geofisica, Roma, 502 pp.
  • Hartleb, R.D., Dolan, J.F., Akyüz, H.S., Yerli, B., 2003. A 2000-Year-Long Paleoseismologic Record of Earthquakes along the Central North Anatolian Fault, from Trenches at Alayurt, Turkey. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 93, 5, 1935–1954.
  • Hartleb, R.D., Dolan, J.F., Kozaci, Ö., Akyüz, H.S., Seitz, G.G., 2006. A 2500-yr-long paleoseismologic record of large, infrequent earthquakes on the North Anatolian fault at Çukurçimen, Turkey. Geological Society of America Bulletin, 118, 7/8, 823–840.
  • Honkura, Y., Işikara, A.M. 1991. Multidisciplinary research on fault activity in the western part of the North Anatolian Fault Zone. Tectonophysics, 193, 347- 357.
  • Ikeda, Y. 1988. Geomorphological observations of the North Anatolian fault, west of Mudurnu. In: Honkura, Y., Işikara, A.M. (Eds.), Multidisciplinary research on fault activity in the western part of the North Anatolian fault zone. Tokyo Institute of Technology, Tokyo, 6-14.
  • Ikeda, Y., Suzuki, Y., Herece, E. 1989. Late Holocene activity of the North Anatolian fault zone in the Orhangazi plain, Northwestern Turkey. In: Honkura, Y., Işikara, A.M. (Eds.), Multidisciplinary research on fault activity in the western part of the North Anatolian fault zone (2). Tokyo Institute of Technology, Tokyo, 16-30.
  • Ikeda, Y., Suzuki, Y., Herece, E., Şaroğlu, F., Işikara, A.M., Honkura, Y. 1991. Geological evidence for the last two faulting events on the North Anatolian Fault Zone in the Mudurnu Valley, Western Turkey. Tectonophysics, 193, 335-345.
  • Ito, A., Üçer, B., Bariş, S., Nakamura, A., Honkura, Y., Kono, T., Hori, S., Hasegawa, A., Pektaş, R., Işikara, A.M. 2002. Aftershock activity of the 1999 İzmit, Turkey, earthquake revealed from microearthquake observations. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 92, 1, 418-427.
  • Jackson, J., McKenzie, D.P. 1984. Active tectonics of the Alpine-Himalayan belt between western Turkey and Pakistan. Geophysical Journal of the Royal Astronomical Society, 77, 185–264.
  • Kalafat, D., Güneş, Y., Kekovali, K., Kara, M., Deniz, P., Yilmazer, M. 2011. Bütünleştirilmiş Homojen Türkiye Deprem Kataloğu (1900-2010); M≥4.0). Boğaziçi Üniversitesi, Kandilli Rasathanesi ve Deprem Araştırma Enstitüsü, Yayin No: 1049, 640 s., Bebek-İstanbul.
  • Ketin, İ. 1948. Uber die tektonisch-mechanischen Folgerungen aus den grossen anatolischen Erdbeben des letzten Dezenniums. Geologische Rundschau, 36, 77-83.
  • Ketin, İ. 1957. Kuzey Anadolu Deprem Fayi. İstanbul Teknik Üniversitesi Dergisi, 15, 49-52
  • Koçyiğit, A. 1988. Tectonic setting of the Geyve basin: age and total displacement of Geyve fault zone. Middle East Technical University Journal of Pure and Applied Sciences, 21, 81-104.
  • Koçyiğit, A., Özacar, A.A. 2003. Extensional Neotectonic Regime through the NE edge of the outer Isparta Angle, SW Turkey: new field and seismic data. Turkish Journal of Earth Sciences, 12 (1), 67-90.
  • Kozaci, Ö., Dolan, J.F., Finkel, R.C., 2009. A late Holocene slip rate for the central North Anatolian fault, at Tahtaköprü, Turkey, from cosmogenic 10Be geochronology: Implications for fault loading and strain release rates. Journal of Geophysical Research, 114, B01405.
  • Kozaci, Ö., Dolan, J.F., Yönlü, Ö., Hartleb, R.D., 2011. Paleoseismologic evidence for the relatively regular recurrence of infrequent, large-magnitude earthquakes on the eastern North Anatolian fault at Yaylabeli,Turkey. Lithosphere, 3, 37-54.
  • Kurtuluş, C., Canbay, M.M. 2007. Tracing the middle strand of the North Anatolian Fault Zone through the southern Sea of Marmara based on seismic reflection studies. Geo-Mar Letters, 27, 27–40.
  • Kuşçu, İ., Okamura, M., Matsuoka, H., Yamamori, K., Awata, Y., Özalp, S. 2009. Recognition of Active Faults and Stepover Geometry in Gemlik Bay, Sea of Marmara, NW Turkey. Marine Geology, 260, 90-101.
  • Langridge, R. M., Stenner, H. D., Fumal, T. E., Christofferson, S. A., Rockwell, T. K., Hartleb, R. D., Bachhuber, J., Barka, A. A. 2002. Geometry, slip distribution, and kinematics of surface rupture on the Sakarya fault segment during the 17 August 1999 İzmit earthquake, Turkey. Bulletin of ther Seismological Society of America, 92, 1, 107–125.
  • McClusky, S., Reilinger, R., Mahmoud, S., Ben Sari, D., Tealeb, A. 2003. GPS constraints on Africa (Nubia) and Arabia plate motions. Geophysical Journal International, 155, 126-138.
  • McKenzie, D. 1972. Active tectonics of the Mediterranean region. Geophysical Journal of the Royal Astronomical Society, 30, 109-195.
  • McKenzie, D. 1978. Active tectonics of the Alpine- Himalayan Belt: The Aegean Sea and surrounding regions. Geophysical Journal of the Royal Astronomical Society, 55, 217-254.
  • Meade, B.J., Hager, B.H., McClusky, S.C., Reilinger, R.E., Ergintav, S., Lenk, O., Barka, A., Özener, H. 2002. Estimates of seismic potential in the Marmara region from block models of secular deformation constrained by GPS measurements. Bulletin of ther Seismological Society of America, 92(1), 208-215.
  • Okamura, M., Matsuoka, H., Kuşçu, İ., Özalp, S., Kinjo, S., Yamamori, K., Awata, Y. 2003. Submarine faults activities in the Gulf of İzmit and Gemlik Bay, NW Turkey: high-resolution shallow seismic survey and earthquake recurrence studies. Eos Transactions AGU 84 (46), Fall Meet. Suppl., F1367.
  • Okay, A.İ., Kaşlilar-Özcan, A., İmren, C., Boztepe-Güney, A., Demirbağ, E., Kuşçu, İ. 2000. Active faults and evolving strike-slip basins in the Marmara Sea, northwest Turkey: a multichannel seismic reflection study. Tectonophysics, 321, 189-218.
  • Özaksoy, V., Emre, Ö., Yildirim, C., Doğan, A., Özalp, S., Tokay, F., 2010. Sedimentary record of Late Holocene seismicity and uplift of Hersek restraining-bend along the North Anatolian Fault in the Gulf of İzmit. Tectonophysics, 487, 33-45.
  • Özalaybey, S., Ergin, M., Aktar, M., Tapirdamaz, C., Biçmen, F., Yörük, A. 2002. The 1999 İzmit earthquake sequence in Turkey: Seismological and tectonic aspects. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 92, 1, 376-386.
  • Özalp, S., Kuşçu, İ., Okamura, M., Matsuoka, H., Yamamori, K., Nakaido, T., Özer, C., Emre, Ö. 2002. Gemlik Körfezindeki Aktif Faylar-Ön Bulgular. Aktif Tektonik Araştırma Grubu Altıncı Toplantısı (ATAG-6), 21-22 Kasim 2002, Bildiri Özleri, s.63, Ankara.
  • Özalp, S., Doğan, A., Emre, Ö. 2003. The last two faulting events on the southern strand of the North Anatolian Fault Zone, NW Turkey. Eos Transactions AGU 84 (46), Fall Meet. Suppl., F1003. Öztürk, K., Yaltirak, C., Alpar, B. 2009. The Relationship Between the Tectonic Setting of the Lake İznik Basin and the Middle Strand of the North Anatolian Fault. Turkish Journal of Earth Sciences, 18, 209– 224.
  • Parsons, T., Toda, S., Stein, R.S., Barka, A., Dieterich, J.H. 2000. Heightened Odds of Large Earthquakes Near Istanbul: An Interaction-Based Probability Calculation. Science, 288, 661-665.
  • Pinar, N., Lahn, E. 1952. Türkiye depremleri izahli katoloğu. Bayindirlik Bakanliği, Yapi ve İmar İşleri Reisliği Yayinlari, 6, 36, 153s, Ankara.
  • Reilinger, R., McClusky, S., Vernant, P., Lawrence, S., Ergintav, S., Cakmak, R., Ozener, H., Kadirov, F., Guliev, I., Stepanyan, R., Nadariya, M., Hahubia, G., Mahmoud, S., Sakr, K., ArRajehi, A., Paradissis, D., Al-Aydrus, A., Prilepin, M., Guseva, T., Evren, E., Dmitrotsa, A., Filikov, S.V., Gomez, F., Al-Ghazzi, R., Karam, G. 2006. GPS constraints on continental deformation in the Africa-Arabia- Eurasia continental collision zone and implications for the dynamics of plate interactions. Journal of Geophysical Research, 111, B05411.
  • Rockwell, T., Barka, A., Dawson, T., Akyüz, S., Thorup, K., 2001. Paleoseismology of the Gaziköy-Saros segment of the North Anatolia fault, northwestern Turkey: Comparison of the historical and paleoseismic records, implications of regional seismic hazard, and models of earthquake recurrence. Journal of Seismology, 5, 433-448.
  • Rockwell, T., Ragona, D., Seitz G., Langridge, R., Aksoy, M.E., Uçarkuş, G., Ferry, M., Meltzner, A.J., Klinger, Y., Meghraoui, M., Şatir, D., Barka, A., Akbalik, B. 2009. Palaeoseismology of the North Anatolian Fault near the Marmara Sea: implications for fault segmentation and seismic hazard. In: Reicherter, K., Michetti, A.M. & Silva, P.G. (Eds) Palaeoseismology: Historical and Prehistorical Records of Earthquake Ground Effects for Seismic Hazard Assessment. The Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 316, 31–54.
  • Sipahioğlu, S., Matsuda, T. 1986. Geology and Quaternary fault in the İznik-Mekece area. In: Işikara, A.M., Honkura, Y., (Eds.), Electric and Magnetic Research on Active Faults in the North Anatolian Fault Zone. Tokyo Institute of Technology, Tokyo, pp. 25-41.
  • Soysal, H., Sipahioğlu, S., Kolçak, D., Altinok, Y. 1981. Türkiye ve çevresinin tarihsel deprem kataloğu, M.Ö. 2100 – M.S. 1900. TÜBİTAK Proje No. TBAG 341, İstanbul, 87s.
  • Stein, R.S., Dieterich, J.H., Barka, A.A. 1996. Role of stress triggering in earthquake migration on the North Anatolian Fault. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 21, 4, 225-230.
  • Stuiver, M., Reimer, P.J. 1993. Extended 14C database and revised CALIB radiocarbon calibration program. Radiocarbon, 35, 215-230.
  • Şaroğlu, F., Emre, Ö., Boray, A. 1987. Türkiye’nin Diri Faylari ve Depremsellikleri. Maden Tetkik ve Arama Genel Müdürlüğü, Rapor no: 8174, Ankara, 394s.
  • Şaroğlu, F., Emre, Ö., Kuşçu, İ. 1992. Türkiye Diri Fay Haritasi. MTA Genel Müdürlüğü, Ankara.
  • Şengör, A.M.C. 1979. The North Anatolian Transform Fault: its age, offset and tectonic significance. Geologial Society of London, 136, 269–282.
  • Şengör, A.M.C. 1980. Türkiye›nin neotektoniğinin esaslari. Türkiye Jeol. Kur. Yayl., 40s.
  • Şengör, A. M. C., Görür, N., Şaroglu, F. 1985. Strike-slip faulting and related basin formation in zones of tectonic escape: Turkey as a case study. In Biddle, K.T., Christie-Blick, N. (Eds.). Strike-Slip Deformation, Basin Formation and Sedimentation. Society of Economic Poleontologistr and Mineralogists Special Publication 37, 227-264
  • Şengör, A.M.C., Tüysüz, O., İmren, C., Sakinç, M., Eyidoğan, H., Görür, N., Le Pichon, X., Rangin, C. 2005. The North Anatolian Fault: A new look. Annual Revieue of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 33, 37-112.
  • Tan, O., Tapirdamaz, M.C., Yörük, A. 2008. The earthquake catalogues for Turkey. Turkish Journal of Earth Sciences, 17, 405-418.
  • Tanoğlu, A., Erinç, S. 1956. Garsak Boğazi ve Eski Sakarya. İstanbul Üniversitesi Coğrafya Enstitüsü Dergisi, 4 (7), 17-30.
  • Taymaz, T. 2000. Seismotectonics of the Marmara region: Source characteristics of 1999 Gölcük-Sapanca- Düzce earthquakes. In: Barka, A., Kozaci, Ö., Akyüz, S., Altunel, E. (Eds.), The 1999 İzmit and Düzce earthquakes: preliminary results. İstanbul Technical University Press, İstanbul, pp. 79-97.
  • Taymaz, T., Jackson, J.A., McKenzie, D. 1991. Active tectonics of the North and Central Aegean Sea. Geophysical Journal International, 106, 433-490.
  • Toda, S., Tsutsumi, H., Duman, T.Y., Emre, Ö., Okuno, M., Özalp, S., Doğan, A., Haraguchi, T., Kondo, H., Sugito, N., Nakamura, T., Parlak, O., Çiplak, R. 2001. Recurrence Interval of the İzmit-Type Earthquakes along the Western North Anatolian. Eos Transactions AGU 82 (47), Fall Meet. Suppl., F929.
  • Toksöz, M.N., Shakal, A.F., Michael, A.J. 1979. Space- time migration of earthquakes along the North Anatolian Fault zone and seismic gaps. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 117, 1258-1270.
  • Tsukuda, E., Herece, E., Kuşçu, İ. 1988. Some geological evidence on activity of the western North Anatolian fault, Geyve, İznik, Gemlik area, research on Quaternary crustal movement and earthquake prediction. Report of International Research and Development Cooperation ITIT Project, 8513, Tokyo, pp. 69-91.
  • Uçarkuş, G. 2002. Gemlik Fay Zonu’nun Aktif Tektoniği. İstanbul Teknik Üniv., Avrasya Yer Bilimleri Enstitüsü, Yüksek Lisans Tezi, İstanbul, 82 s.
  • Utkucu, M., Budakoğlu, E., Durmuş, H. 2011. Marmara Bölgesinde (KB Türkiye) Depremsellik ve Deprem Tehlikesi Üzerine Bir Tartişma. Yerbilimleri, 32 (3), 187-211.
  • Üçer, B., Eyidoğan, H., Gürbüz, C., Barka, A., Bariş, Ş. 1997. Seismic investigations of Marmara region. In: Schindler, C., Pfister, M. (Eds.), Active Tectonics of Northwestern Anatolia-The Marmara Poly-Project, vdf Hochschulverlag AG an der ETH Zürich, pp. 89-99.
  • Wells, D., Coppersmith, K. 1994. New empirical relationships among magnitude, rupture length, rupture width, rupture area and surface displacement. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 84, 974-1002.
  • Yaltirak, C., Alpar, B. 2002. Evolution of the middle strand of North Anatolian Fault and shallow seismic investigation of the southeastern Marmara Sea (Gemlik Bay). Marine Geology, 190, 1-2, 307-327. Yildirim, C., Emre, Ö. 2004. Drainage evolution along the North Anatolian Fault zone, Eastern Marmara- Turkey. Geological Society of America (GSA), Denver Annual Meeting, 7-10 November 2004, Abstracts with Programs, 36 (5), 51, Denver, Colorado, USA.
  • Yoshioka, T., Kuşçu, İ. 1994. Late Holocene faulting events on the İznik-Mekece fault in the western part of the North Anatolian fault zone, Turkey. Bulletin of the 5, 11, 677-685.