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Journal of Economic and Social Studies

Yıl 2011 , Cilt 1 , Sayı 2

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Makale özeti
Başlık :

A comparison of anfis and arima techniques in the forecasting of electric energy consumption of tokat province in turkey

Yazar kurumları :
Faculty of Economics and Administrative Science Gaziosmanpasa University1, Tokat Vocational School Gaziosmanpasa University2, Suşehri Timur Karabal Vocational School Cumhuriyet University3
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Özet Türkçe :

In this study, the electric energy demand of Tokat province was estimated by means of ANFIS and ARIMA techniques. Seven different forecasting experiments were implemented for the subscriber groups and the consumption of electric energy which is the dependent variable. The electric energy demand of the province for the first six months of the year 2011 was estimated by means of ANFIS and ARIMA techniques. The obtained results were compared and interpreted in order to illustrate the forecasting success of these techniques. We showed that the ANFIS is more appropriate than the ARIMA in point of the forecasting of electric consumption.

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