TÜRKİYE’DE İNŞAAT SEKTÖRÜ VE BÖLGESEL EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLİŞKİSİ: DÜZEY 2 BÖLGELERİ ÜZERİNE BİR ANALİZ

Son dönemde yaşanan gelişmelerle birlikte, Türkiye inşaat sektörü hızlı bir büyüme trendine girmiştir. Bu gelişmeler ekseninde, başta yatırımlar ve finansman olmak üzere sektöre ilişkin çeşitli göstergelerin ulusal ve bölgesel ekonomiler üzerindeki farklı etkilerinden bahsetmek mümkündür. Literatürdeki çeşitli çalışmalar, sektörün özellikle gelişmekte olan ülkelerdeki iktisadi ve sosyal etkilerine vurgu yapmaktadırlar. Ayrıca, sektörün bölgesel bir bakış açısıyla ele alınması, inşaat faaliyetlerinin ekonomik büyümeye etkilerini daha iyi gözlemlemeye imkân vermektedir. Bu çalışma, Türkiye'de inşaat sektörüne ilişkin yatırımlar ve finansman düzeyi ile uzmanlaşma, yoğunlaşma ve rekabetin bölgesel ekonomik büyümedeki etkilerini incelemeyi amaçlamaktadır. Bu amaçla, söz konusu değişkenler ile reel büyüme arasındaki ilişkiler 26 Düzey 2 bölge ve 2007-2014 dönemi kapsamında ekonometrik olarak analiz edilmektedir. Panel veri analizinden elde edilen bulgular inşaat sektörüne yönelik finansman ve uzmanlaşma seviyesinin reel ekonomik büyümede önemli belirleyiciler olduğunu gösterirken, yatırımların pozitif etkisine dair net bir bulguya ulaşılmamaktadır. Elde edilen bu ikinci sonuç ile literatürde inşaat sektörü yatırımları ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişki ekseninde ortaya çıkan mevcut tartışmalara bölgesel bir bir katkı sağlanması amaçlanmaktadır. Tahminler ayrıca, rekabete ilişkin değişkenlerin büyüme üzerinde negatif ve kısmen anlamlı etkisini ortaya koyarken, yoğunlaşmaya ilişkin anlamlı bir bulguya rastlanmamaktadır. Analiz aynı zamanda, küresel kriz döneminin reel bölgesel büyümede yaratmış olduğu bozucu etkiye de işaret etmektedir

THE NEXUS BETWEEN CONSTRUCTION SECTOR AND REGIONAL ECONOMIC GROWTH: AN ANALYSIS OF THE NUTS 2 REGIONS IN TURKEY

Along with recent advancements, the Turkish construction sector has caught up a rapid growth trend. In this regard, it can be argued that investments, finance and various indicators related to the sector have different implications on the national economy. Various studies in the literature emphasize the economic and social effects of the sector, especially in developing countries. In addition, considering the sector from a regional perspective allows to better observe the effects of construction activities on economic growth. This study aims to examine the effects of investment, financing, specialization, concentration and competitiveness related to construction sector on regional economic growth in Turkey. For this purpose, an econometric analysis is conducted for the 26 NUTS II regions and 2007-2014 period. Panel data analysis show that financing and specialization in the construction sector are important determinants of growth, but there is no clear evidence of the positive impact of investments. The latter result provides a regional contribution to current debates in the literature arising from the relationship between construction sector investments and economic growth. In addition, results reveal a negative and partially significant effect of competitiveness on growth, whereas no significant effect exists for concentration. The analysis also points to the disruptive effect of the global crisis on regional growth

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