TARIMSAL DESTEKLEME POLİTİKALARI VE KIRDAN KENTE GÖÇ ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ: 1986-2015 DÖNEMİ TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ

Geçtiğimiz yüzyıllarda sanayi ve hizmet sektörlerinin ortaya çıkışı ile tarım sektörü arka plana itilmiştir. Gelişmiş ülkeler tarım sektörünün önemini hızlı bir şekilde yeniden kavramış ve akabinde en gözde sektör olarak tarım sektörüne yeniden gerekli desteği sağlamışlardır. Ancak gelişmekte olan ve az gelişmiş ülkeler sanayiyi tarıma tercih etmeleri nedeniyle ne sanayi ve hizmet sektörlerinde başarılı olmuşlar ne de tarımda yeterli düzeyde üretime sahip olmuşlardır. Çünkü sanayi ve hizmet sektörlerinin direkt veya dolaylı girdilerinin başında tarım sektörünün çıktıları olan tarım ürünleri gelmektedir. Gelişmiş ülkeler veya onların kontrolünde olan uluslararası kuruluşlar tarafından dayatılan politikaları uygulayan az gelişmiş ve gelişmekte olan ülkeler tarım sektöründeki desteklerini azaltmışlar ve bu ülkeler tarımda ithalata bağımlı hale gelmişlerdir. Türkiye'de de uzun yıllar iktidarlar tarafından birinci hedef olarak tarımı küçültüp sanayi ve hizmet sektörlerini büyütmek tercih edilmiştir. Buna kontrolsüz dışa açılma politikaları da eklenince hizmet sektörünün büyük bölümü yabancılaşmış, sanayi üretimi yetersizliği dolayısıyla dış ticaret açıkları önemli boyutlara ulaşmıştır. Yanlış destekleme politikaları ve buna bağlı olarak desteklerin azaltılması ile Türkiye tarım ve hayvancılık sektöründe ithalata bağımlı hale gelmiş, tarım alanları daralmış, tarımda istihdam gereksinimi azalmış ve hızlı bir şekilde kırdan kente göç gerçekleşmiştir. Çalışmada tarımsal destekleme politikaları ile kırdan kente göç arasındaki ilişki analiz edilmektedir. Buna göre tarımsal destekleme politikaları ile kırdan kente göç arasında pozitif yönlü bir ilişki görülmektedir. Kırdan kente göçün durdurulması veya tersine döndürülmesi için tarımsal desteklerin artırılması ve bu desteklerin tarım alanına veya görece üretim miktarına bağlı değil, milli menfaatlere, istihdam artışına ve kırsal alanların verimliliğine bağlı olarak yeniden yapılandırılması gerekmektedir

AGRICULTURAL SUPPORT POLICIES AND ITS IMPACT ON MIGRATION FROM RURAL TO URBAN: THE CASE OF TURKEY OVER THE PERIOD 1985-2015

With the advent of industrial and service industries in the past centuries, the agricultural sector has been pushed into the background. Developed countries have quickly realized the importance of the agricultural sector and have returned to providing the necessary support to the agricultural sector. However, because of a preference in the industrial sector over the agriculture sector developing and underdeveloped countries have not been successful in either industry. This is because agricultural products, whether direct or indirect, are the sources that most of the industrial sector uses as raw material for producing finished goods. Pressured by developed countries and international institutions on these developing and underdeveloped countries has influenced policies of less support for agriculture, which resulted in more imports creating a dependency on foreign countries. For many years Turkey’s governments have worked to shrink the agriculture sector while expanding the industrial and service sectors. When we add to the mix irresponsible outsourcing policies and the need to be part of a global market, much of the service sector are now owned by foreign companies and the foreign trade deficits have reached critical proportions. Bad policies has lead Turkey to be dependent on imports in the agricultural and livestock sector. Reducing support for agriculture, reduced farming, agricultural employment decreased and increased migration from rural to urban areas rapidly. In the study, the relationship between agricultural support policies and migration from rural to urban is analyzed. According to this, there is a positive relationship between agricultural support policies and migration from rural to urban areas. Increasing agricultural subsidies to stopping or reversing migration from rural to urban should be restructured depending on national interests, employment growth and the productivity of rural areas, not based on agricultural land or relative to the amount of production The agricultural sector forms the basis of national economies. The most significant reason for this is that the necessary food need of human life is derived from processed or unprocessed agricultural products; additionally, agricultural products come at the forefront of direct or indirect inputs of industry and service sectors. The essential input of the food industry is agricultural products. However, the agriculture sector primarily undertakes the production of food for the people being the source of labour factor. Therefore, the agriculture sector is the basis of the economy. Developed countries, which are aware of the importance of the agricultural sector, have not neglected agriculture while investing in the industrial sector, and structured their support on efficiency, making farmers the most respected producers in the society. However, they have paved the way for various treaties on the reduction of agricultural subsidies as developed countries on globally. As a result of these treaties, it has become inevitable that the agricultural sectors of underdeveloped or developing countries are shrinking, also, for even self-sufficient countries to finally become dependent on imports. The only consequence of reducing agricultural subsidies is not the shrinking of the agricultural sector. Another consequence is that the rural population gradually migrates to the cities as a result of the decrease in production and accordingly the employment, as the production costs increase in the agriculture and livestock sector. Hence, rural-urban migration is the cause of economic and social degradation. Economically lead to a deterioration in the income distribution, informal employment, reduction of agricultural employment, increase unemployment and poverty can be mentioned. Some of the social problems are as follows; the deterioration of the texture of the city, increased crime rates due to the unemployment that has arisen due to immigration, damage to the family structure, insecurity and education and health problems. In the study, the relationship between rural-urban migration with the reduction of agricultural subsidies has been investigated for Turkey as in the cluster of developing countries with data from 1986 to 2015. Firstly, a brief literature review has been conducted on the work done in the relevant area and the results obtained in these studies. In addition, the agricultural sector in Turkey has been briefly discussed, then the development of support policies has been examined. The last title before the econometric analysis is summarized in the development of the rural and urban population in Turkey over the years. The research has been completed with the empirical study and the result section. With the emergence of industrial and service sectors in the past centuries, the agricultural sector has been pushed into the background. Developed countries have quickly realized the importance of the agricultural sector and have returned to providing the necessary support to the agricultural sector. However, because of a preference in the industrial sector over the agriculture sector, developing and underdeveloped countries have not been successful in either industry. This is because agricultural products, whether direct or indirect, are the sources that most of the industrial sector uses as raw material for producing finished goods. Pressured by developed countries and international institutions on these developing and underdeveloped countries has influenced policies of less support for agriculture, which resulted in more imports creating a dependency on foreign countries. There is no consensus among economists about the quality and quantity of agricultural subsidies while there is consensus on the importance of the agricultural sector. Although this debate continues, the results of countries' policies on agricultural subsidies are apparent. Even though Turkey, contained in the category of developing countries, adapts the decision of international economic institutions as much as possible, the agricultural fields in the current period narrowed, business sizes have become more inadequate, production has been decreased, prices have been increased, dependency on imports has been deepened, the employment structure has been corrupted and rural-urban migration has continued without interruption. When the model is tested econometrically, it is determined that the variables used are not static in the level, but both variables are stationary in the first difference. The Johansen cointegration test, in which the differently stationary series are co-integrated, was determined. The parameter of agricultural support in the cointegration vector was found 0.41. In other words, a decrease of 1 percent in agricultural support has resulted in a decrease of 0.41 percent in the rural population. The relationship which constitutes the main theme of the work, between developments in the number of agricultural subsidies and the migration from rural to urban has direct proportion, moreover, the relation between them is strong which reveals how agricultural production is linked to the agricultural support, and how closely the migration from rural to urban is connected the agricultural production. The decrease in agricultural production reduces the need for employment in the agricultural sector, which accelerates the migration from rural to urban areas. For many years Turkey’s governments have worked to shrink the agriculture sector while expanding the industrial and service sectors. When we add to the mix irresponsible outsourcing policies and the need to be part of a global market, much of the service sector are now owned by foreign companies and the foreign trade deficits have reached critical proportions. Bad policies have lead Turkey to be dependent on imports in the agricultural and livestock sector. Reducing support for agriculture, reduced farming, agricultural employment decreased and increased migration from rural to urban areas rapidly. Increasing agricultural subsidies to stopping or reversing migration from rural to urban should be restructured depending on national interests, employment growth and the productivity of rural areas, not not based on agricultural land or relative to the amount of production

___

Turkish Studies (Elektronik)-Cover
  • ISSN: 1308-2140
  • Yayın Aralığı: Yılda 4 Sayı
  • Başlangıç: 2006
  • Yayıncı: Mehmet Dursun Erdem