Yılmaz BAYAR

3216

BRICS ÜLKELERİ İLE TÜRKİYE’DE TERÖRİZMİN EKONOMİK BELİRLEYİCİLERİ: BİR PANEL NEDENSELLİK ANALİZİ

Terörizm kaynaklı ölüm ve yaralı sayısı son yıllarda önemli miktardaartmıştır. Ayrıca terörizm beşeri, fiziksel sermaye ve altyapıya zarar vererekekonomik büyüme ile kalkınmayı da yavaşlatabilmektedir. Terörizmin sözkonusu olumsuz etkileri, araştırmacıları terörizmin belirleyicilerini araştırmayayönlendirmiştir. Terörizmin belirleyicilerinin tespit edilmesi, terörizm ilemücadelede ulusal ve uluslararası düzeyde doğru önlemlerin alınması açısındanönem taşımaktadır. Çalışmada nedensellik analizi kullanılarak küresel ekonomininönemli bir parçası olan BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa (Brezilya,Rusya, Hindistan, Çin, Güney Afrika)) ülkeleri ile Türkiye’de 2002-2017 dönemindeterörizm ile başlıca makroekonomik değişkenler arasındaki ilişki araştırılmıştır.Çalışma sonucunda ekonomik büyüme, işsizlik ile genç işsizlikten terörizme doğru,terörizmden de askeri harcamalar ile siyasi istikrara doğru tek yönlü nedensellikolduğu belirlenmiştir.

ECONOMIC DETERMINANTS OF TERRORIZM IN BRICS COUNTRIES AND TURKEY: A PANEL CAUSALITY ANALYSIS

The number of death and casualty resulting from the terrorism has increased considerably in the recent years. Furthermore, terrorism can slow down the economic growth and economic development through damaging the human capital, physical capital and infrastructure. The aforementioned negative effects of the terrorism have led the scholars to research the determinants of the terrorism. The specification of terrorism determinants is important for taking the right measures at national and international level in the fight against terrorism. The study investigated the relationship between terrorism and major macroeconomic variables in BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) countries and Turkey, a significant part of the global economy, during the 2002-2017 period through causality analysis. We revealed that one-way causality from economic growth, unemployment, and youth unemployment to the terrorism, and a one-way causality from terrorism to military expenditures and political stability.
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Türk İdare Dergisi-Cover
  • ISSN: 1300-3216
  • Yayın Aralığı: Yılda 2 Sayı
  • Başlangıç: 1928
  • Yayıncı: İçişleri Bakanlığı
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