Türk Cumhuriyetleri’nde CO² Emisyonu ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: Panel Nedensellik Analizi

Bu çalışmada Türk Cumhuriyetleri’nden Azerbaycan, Kazakistan, Kırgızistan, Tacikistan, Türkmenistan ve Özbekistan’da CO² emisyonu ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi 1992-2014 dönemi verileri ile araştırılmaktadır. Karbon emisyonu olarak ülkelerin kişi başı karbon emisyon oranları, gaz ve akaryakıt tüketiminden kaynaklanan karbon emisyon verileri kullanılmıştır. Yatay kesit bağımlılık ve homojenlik testi sonuçlarına göre durağanlık için ikinci kuşak panel birim kök testleri tercih edilirken Panelin parametrelerinin heterojen yapıda olmasından dolayı Dumitrescu ve Hurlin(2012) panel nedensellik testi kullanılmıştır. Elde edilen sonuçlara göre söz konusu ülkelerde CO² emisyonu ve ekonomik büyüme arasında karşılıklı bir nedensellik ilişkisi olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Ayrıca gaz ve akaryakıt gibi enerji tüketiminden kaynaklanan karbon emisyonlarından ekonomik büyümeye doğru bir nedensellik ilişkisi de tespit edilmiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Panel Nedensellik Analizi, Karbon Emisyonu, Ekonomik Büyüme, Türk Cumhuriyetleri

Relationship between CO² Emission and Economic Growth in Turkic Countries: A Panel Causality Analysis

In this study, relationship between CO² emissions and economic growth in Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan has been investigated with the data of 1992-2014 period. CO² emissions by metric tons per capita, CO² emissions from liquid fuel consumption and CO² emissions from gaseous fuel consumption are used as the data of CO² emissions. According to results of the cross-section dependency and homogeneity test, Dumitrescu and Hurlin (2012) test is prefered for causality analysis while second generation unitroot tests are prefered for stationary analysis. According to the results, it has been found that there is a reciprocal causality relationship between the emission of CO² and economic growth in the countries. In addition, a causality relationship running from CO² emissions from gas and liquid consumption to economic growth is found.

Keywords:

Panel Causality Analysis, Carbon Emission, Economic Growth, Turkic Countries,

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