Türkiye'de Elektrik Enerjisi Talebi ve Elektrik Tüketimi ile Ekonomik Büyüme Arasındaki İlişki

Bu çalışmada Türkiye'de elektrik talebi değişik sektörler itibariyle talimin edilmiş ve elektrik tüketimi ile milli gelir arasında nedensellik ilişkisi test edilmeye çalışılmıştır. Zaman serilerinin Özelliğini dikkate alan eşbütünleşme ve vektör hata düzeltme modelleri ile analizler yapılmıştır. Milli gelir ile elektrik tüketimi arasında eşbütünleşmenin olduğu ve buradan elektrik tüketiminden gelire doğru tek yönlü bir nedensellik ilişkisinin varlığı tesbit edilmiştir. Tüm sektörlerde kısa dönem gelir esneklikleri birimden küçük, uzun dönem esneklikleri ise birden büyük bulunmuştur.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Türkiye, enerji tüketimi

The demand for electricity in Turkey by sectors is estimated and the causality relation between electricity consumption and national income is tested in this study. Empirical results obtained by using the models of coentegration and vector error correction show that the national income and electricity consumption are coentegrated and there is a causality relation from electricity consumption toward the national income. It is also determined that the short-run income elasticities in all the sectors are less than unity while long-run income elasticities are greater than unity.

Keywords:

Turkey, energy consumption,

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