FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA

Öz As international tourism demand continually grows, the importance and magnitude of the tourism sector for the economy of the countries increases. Based on the tourism demand, countries want to be prepared and they need to know the future demand. However, it is not always possible to have the knowledge of the actual demand and one can only make forecasts in such cases. This paper deals with forecasting international tourism demand specifically focusing on the Spanish tourist arrivals in Cappadocia region of Turkey. In accordance with this aim, eight forecasting models are used. The results of the analysis for each model is attained and the forecasting accuracy examined. It is seen that Artificial Neural Networks and the Multiple Regression Model outperforms other models. Finally, administrative inferences, confines of the study and instructions for hereafter researches are given in this paper.

Kaynakça

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Kaynak Göster

Bibtex @araştırma makalesi { pausbed679682, journal = {Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi}, issn = {1308-2922}, eissn = {2147-6985}, address = {Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Kınıklı Yerleşkesi 20070 Kınıklı – DENİZLİ / TÜRKİYE}, publisher = {Pamukkale Üniversitesi}, year = {2020}, volume = {}, pages = {189 - 208}, doi = {10.30794/pausbed.679682}, title = {FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA}, key = {cite}, author = {İslamoğlu, Ebrucan and Doğan, Nuri Özgür} }
APA İslamoğlu, E , Doğan, N . (2020). FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA . Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi , (40) , 189-208 . DOI: 10.30794/pausbed.679682
MLA İslamoğlu, E , Doğan, N . "FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA" . Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi (2020 ): 189-208 <https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/pausbed/issue/55392/679682>
Chicago İslamoğlu, E , Doğan, N . "FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA". Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi (2020 ): 189-208
RIS TY - JOUR T1 - FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA AU - Ebrucan İslamoğlu , Nuri Özgür Doğan Y1 - 2020 PY - 2020 N1 - doi: 10.30794/pausbed.679682 DO - 10.30794/pausbed.679682 T2 - Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi JF - Journal JO - JOR SP - 189 EP - 208 VL - IS - 40 SN - 1308-2922-2147-6985 M3 - doi: 10.30794/pausbed.679682 UR - https://doi.org/10.30794/pausbed.679682 Y2 - 2020 ER -
EndNote %0 Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA %A Ebrucan İslamoğlu , Nuri Özgür Doğan %T FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA %D 2020 %J Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi %P 1308-2922-2147-6985 %V %N 40 %R doi: 10.30794/pausbed.679682 %U 10.30794/pausbed.679682
ISNAD İslamoğlu, Ebrucan , Doğan, Nuri Özgür . "FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA". Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi / 40 (Haziran 2020): 189-208 . https://doi.org/10.30794/pausbed.679682
AMA İslamoğlu E , Doğan N . FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA. PAUSBED. 2020; (40): 189-208.
Vancouver İslamoğlu E , Doğan N . FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA. Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi. 2020; (40): 189-208.
IEEE E. İslamoğlu ve N. Doğan , "FORECASTING TOURISM DEMAND: A CASE STUDY FOCUSING ON SPANISH TOURIST’ S TRAVEL TO CAPPADOCIA", Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, sayı. 40, ss. 189-208, Haz. 2020, doi:10.30794/pausbed.679682