Türkiye'de Bölgesel Enflasyon Yakınsamasının Analizi

Özet: Bu çalışma, Türkiye'de farklı coğrafi bölgeler arasında enflasyon yakınsaması olgusunun analiz edilmesini amaçlamaktadır. Ekonomi yazınında enflasyon yakınsaması, para politikalarının oluşturulması ve bunların başarıya ulaştırılması açısından önemli bir karar kriteri olarak değerlendirilmektedir. Çünkü enflasyonun bir bölgeden ötekine yayılması ve bunun zaman içinde süreklilik göstermesi; ücret oranlarını, bunun bir fonksiyonu olan alım gücünü düşürmekte ve hayat standardını bozmaktadır. Panel birim kök testleri kullanılarak kesitsel bağlılık araştırılmış ve bölgesel enflasyon oranlarının Türkiye ortalaması etrafında dağıldığı belirlenmiştir. Elde edilen bulgular, farklı coğrafi bölgeler itibariyle ciddi bir enflasyon yakınsaması olgusunun varlığını göstermektedir. Dolayısıyla, parasal otoritelerin politik karar alma sürecinde enflasyon yakınsaması ve yayılmasından kaynaklanabilecek kırılganlıklara karşı duyarlı ve dikkatli olmaları gerekmektedir.
Anahtar Kelimeler:

Türkiye

Analysis of Regional Inflaton Convergence in Turkey

Abstract: This study attempts to examine whether there is inflation convergence across different geographical regions in Turkey. According to economy literature, inflation convergence is evaluated as an important decision criterion of development end success of monetary policy; because dispersion from one region to another and permanence of inflation lower wage rate and purchasing power, and detoriate level of living. Using panel unit root tests that are robust to cross-sectional dependence, it is found that relative inflation levels among various regions in Turkey mean-revert. The results indicate that have been serious inflation convergence phenomenon among different regions. Consequently, monetary authorities must be sensitive and careful towards vulnerabilities raised from inflation convergence and dispersion in political decision making process.
Keywords:

Turkey,

Kaynakça

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