Özgür YUMAKOĞULLARI, Resul AYDEMİR, Bülent GÜLOĞLU

Türkiye Havayolu Endüstrisinde Hava Trafiği, Filosu ve Mro Piyasasının Gelişimi

Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye’deki havayolu taşımacılığının 2024 yılına kadar muhtemel gelişimini yolcu-kargo artışı, uçak sayısı ve bakım merkezleri temelinde ortaya koymaktır. Tüm dünyada, özellikle hızlı bir gelişim içinde bulunan Türkiye’nin de içinde bulunduğu Doğu Avrupa ve Asya’da, taşınan yolcu ve kargo sayısı gün geçtikçe artmakta, buna bağlı olarak daha fazla uçağa ihtiyacı olan operatörler yenilerini sipariş etmekte veya kiralamaktadırlar. Bu uçakların güvenli bir şekilde uçmaları için gerekli olan işgücü ve bakım merkezi ihtiyacı da aynı oranda artmaktadır. Bu çalışma 2014-2024 döneminde Türkiye’de havayolu yolcu ve kargo trafiğinin ne kadar büyüyeceğini, bu büyümeyi karşılamak için sipariş edilen uçak sayı ve modellerini, bu uçaklara hizmet verebilecek bakım onarım merkezlerinin kapasitesini ve bu merkezlerin çevre ülkelerle birlikte piyasa potansiyelini analiz etmektedir. Böylelikle Türkiye’deki hava yolu taşımacılığı sektörünün muhtemel gelişimi ve alt sektörleriyle etkileşimleri konusunda kapsamlı bir bakış açısı ortaya konulmuştur.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Türkiye Hava Taşımacılığı Endüstrisi, Uçak Modelleri, Hava Yolu, Yolcu Kargo Talebi, Bakım Onarım Merkezi, MRO Piyasası

The Development of Turkish Air Traffic, Fleet and MRO Market

The purpose of this paper is to examine the evolution of Turkey’s air transportation industry until 2024 by focusing on the growth patterns and the demand structure of passengers/cargo, aircrafts and maintenance repair stations that comprise the industry. Passenger/cargo numbers will continue to increase in the upcoming years in the world. In particular, Eastern Europe including Turkey and Asia will experience the highest growth rates in the next decade and hence the number of aircrafts operating in the industry will mount up as well. Therefore, airline operators will purchase or lease more aircrafts and the required number of skilled workers and maintenance repair stations will rise to ensure safetiness and airworthiness of aircrafts. The paper analyses Turkey’s passenger and cargo traffic growth in the next decade, aircraft orders to meet this growth, the capacity of maintenance repair and overhaul organizations (MROs) to serve additional fleet and potential maintenance market in the nearby countries. Thus, it provides a future outlook of the development of Turkish air transport industry and interactions between its subsectors

Keywords:

Turkish Air Transportation Industry, Aircrafts, Air Passengers and Cargo Demand, Maintenance Repair and Overhaul (MRO) Market,

PDF

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