TÜRKİYE'DE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME VE KAMU HARCAMALARI ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİNİN AMPİRİK ANALİZİ: 1950 - 2009

İlk kez 1883 yılında Wagner tarafından ifade edilen kamu harcamaları ve ulusal gelir ilişkisi, literatürde uzun süredir hem teorik hem de ampirik alanda tartışma konusu olmuştur. Bu çalışmanın amacı Wagner kanununun Türkiye için geçerliliğini 1950-2009 dönemine ait veriler kullanarak test etmektir. Kanun, uzun dönemde, kamu harcamalarındaki artışın görece ulusal gelirdeki artışa göre daha hızlı olacağını ifade eder. Kanunun geçerli olduğu durumda, nedensellik ilişkisinin ulusal gelirden kamu harcamalarına doğru olması gerekmektedir. Eşbütünleşme ve vektör hata düzeltme yöntemleri kullanarak yaptığımız ampirik sınamada elde ettiğimiz sonuçlar, kanunun ele alınan beş versiyonunda hipotezin geçerli olduğunu göstermektedir.

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