SEYFETTİN ERDOĞAN, DURMUŞ ÇAĞRI YILDIRIM

Orta Asya Türk Cumhuriyetlerinde Dış Ticaret – iktisadi büyüme ilişkisi üzerine ekonometrik bir inceleme

Dış ticaretin ulusal gelire katkısının araştırılması, özellikle az gelişmiş ve gelişmekte olan ülkeler açısından önemlidir. Çünkü, araştırma sonucunda elde edilecek bulgular, iktisat politikalarının hazırlık sürecinde veri kaynağı olarak kullanılabilir. Bu çalışmanın amacı, Orta Asya Türk Cumhuriyetleri’nde (Azerbaycan, Kaza- kistan, Kırgız Cumhuriyeti, Özbekistan ve Türkmenistan) 1990-2009 dönemi için Kao Test yardımıyla ihracat, ithalat, sabit sermaye oluşumu ve iktisadi büyüme arasındaki nedensellik ilişkilerini araştırmaktır. Elde edilen bulgulara göre, ihracat hacmi ile hasıla arasında çift yönlü bir nedensellik bulunmaktadır.

An empirical analysis of the relationship between foreign trade and growth in central asian Turkish republic

Investigating the contribution of foreign trade on national income is important especially for less developed and developing countries. Because the results of the research can be used as the sources of data for preparation process of econo- mic policies. The purpose of this study is to investigate the causality relations between economic growth and exports, imports, fixed capital formation in the Central Asian Turkish Republics (Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyz Republic, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan). According to the findings, there is a two-way causality between export volume and output.

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