TÜRKİYE’DE FISHER ETKİSİNİN GEÇERLİLİĞİ: DOĞRUSAL OLMAYAN EŞBÜTÜNLEŞME YAKLAŞIMI

Bu çalışmada 2002M1-2011M5 dönemine ait aylık verilerle alternatif nominal vadeli mevduat faiz oranları ile tüketici fiyat endeksi arasındaki ilişki Türkiye ekonomisi için Fisher (1930) hipotezi bağlamında test edilmiştir. Bu amaçla Dickey-Fuller (1981) tarafından geliştirilen doğrusal birim kök testi ile Seo (2006) tarafından geliştirilen doğrusal olmayan eşbütünleşme testi uygulanmıştır. Analiz sonucunda ele alınan dönemde dalgalı kur uygulaması ve enflasyon hedeflemesi stratejisi ile birlikte rejim değişikliği olmadığı için Fisher etkisinin görülmediği sonucuna ulaşılmıştır.

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