Global Peaceful Change and Accommodation of Rising Powers: A Scholarly Perspective

Can the accommodation of rising powers in the international system be accomplished peacefully? Prof. Paul, in his recent publication, argued that if the established and status quo powers hold grand strategies which allow for peaceful accommodation, this is feasible. He clarifies the differences between accommodation and appeasement and the value of soft balancing, relying on institutions, economic diplomacy, and limited ententes as mechanisms for restraining aggressive behavior of major powers. Variations in current US policies toward Russia and China are discussed. Non-accommodation of major powers as well as minor powers has major internal and external consequences. He concludes by arguing that contemporary rising powers, such as China and India, have much greater prospects of rising peacefully than previous era great powers, partially due to the opportunities offered by the globalization process. However, these states must initiate economic and developmental programs for other states, without neocolonial overtones, in order to increase global development and their own status. The discipline of IR has a special duty to encourage students and policy makers to develop strategies of peaceful transformation, rather than war, as the main mechanism of change.

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  • Kang, David C. East Asia Before the West: Five Centuries of Trade and Tribute. Columbia University Press, 2010.
  • Paul, T.V. Restraining Great Powers: Soft Balancing from Empires to the Global Era. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, forthcoming, 2018.
  • Paul, T. V., ed. Accommodating Rising Powers. Cambridge University Press, 2016.
  • Paul, T. V., Deborah Welch Larson, and William C. Wohlforth. Status in World Politics. Cambridge University Press, 2014.