İnşaat Sektörünün Dinamikleri: Türkiye için 2000-2014 Girdi-Çıktı Analizi

Türkiye’de inşaat sektörü, gerek altyapı yatırımları, gerekse konut inşaatları çerçevesinden bakıldığında, son yıllarda öne çıkan sektörler arasında yer almaktadır. Genel olarak inşaat sektörü, güçlü sektörel bağlantıları nedeniyle ekonominin sürükleyici sektörlerinden biri olarak kabul edilmektedir. Ülkemizde 2000 sonrası dönem ele alındığında, sektörün büyüme hızı hemen her dönemde GSYİH büyüme hızının üzerinde bir seyir izlemiştir. Bu çalışmada, World Input-Output Database (WIOD) projesinden alınan güncellenmiş 2000-2014 yılları arası girdi-çıktı tabloları kullanılmıştır. Bu girdi-çıktı tablolarından ileri ve geri bağlantılar ile çıktı, gelir, istihdam gibi çeşitli çarpanlar hesaplanmıştır. Çalışmada girdi-çıktı analizi sonucu hesaplanan yapısal parametreler ışığında, inşaat sektörünün ekonominin lokomotif sektörü olarak görülebilme ihtimalini tartışmak amaçlanmaktadır.

The Dynamics of the Construction Sector: An Input-Output Analysis of Turkey for the 2000-2014 Period

The construction sector in Turkey has been a prominent sector recently with respect to the infrastructure investments and housing constructions. It is widely accepted that the construction industry is considered to be one of the main drivers of the overall economy due to its strong inter-industrial linkages. The growth rate of construction sector in Turkey has shown a trend above the average GDP growth rate almost in each period after the 2000 era. In this study, the updated input-output tables constructed by the World Input-Output Database (WIOD) project from 2000-2014 are employed and backward-forward linkages and several multipliers are also calculated by using these input-output tables. In this study, it is aimed to discuss whether the construction industry can be considered as the driver of the economy.

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