PANDORA’NIN KUTUSU: LİBYA ÇATIŞMA HARİTASININ GÜNCELLENMESİ

Bu çalışma, Paul Wehr tarafından ileri sürülen çatışma haritalama tekniğini kullanarak ikinci Libya çatışmasını incelemektedir. Bu noktada çalışma, Libya çatışmasını, bağlamı, konusu, aktörü ve dinamiği çerçevesinde ele almaktadır. Çalışmada, Libya sahasının analiz edilmesinin nedeni, Libya'nın son dönemin en karmaşık çatışmalarından biri olması ve dolayısıyla bölgesel dinamiklerini derinden etkilemesinden ileri gelmektedir. Çalışmanın önemi, Libya'daki çatışma sahasına alternatif bir analiz haritası sunarak literatüre katkı sunmasından ileri gelmektedir. İkincil veri kaynakları üzerinde yapılan çalışma, nitel araştırma tasarımına dayanmaktadır. Çalışmanın sonuçlarına göre, çatışmayı sona erdirmenin yolu, çatışmanın temel nedenlerine ve her iki tarafın da kabul edebileceği siyasi bir çözüme ulaşmaktan geçmektedir. Ayrıca Libya'daki çatışmaya barışçıl, adil ve kalıcı bir çözüm için gerekli ön koşul, demokratik bir sürecin desteklenmesidir. Buna göre, Birleşmiş Milletler (BM) öncülüğündeki uzlaşmanın başarısı, Libya'daki istikrar için oldukça önemlidir.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Çatışma, , Çatışma haritalama, , Libya

PANDORA’S BOX: UPDATING THE LIBYAN CONFLICT MAP

This study examines the second Libyan conflict by using the conflict mapping technique that was introduced by Paul Wehr. At this point, the study analyses the Libyan conflict within the framework of context, issue, actor, and dynamic of the conflict. The reason for analyzing Libya in the research is that it is one of the complex conflicts of the last period, and thus deeply affects the regional dynamics. The significance of the research arises from its contribution to the literature by presenting an alternative road map of the conflict in Libya. The study conducted using secondary data sources is based on the qualitative research design. The results of the study reveals that the way to end the conflict is through reaching the root causes of the conflict and a solution acceptable to both sides. Besides, the necessary pre-condition for a peaceful, fair, and lasting solution to the conflict in Libya supports a democratic process. Accordingly, the success of United Nations (U.N)-led reconciliation is quite significant to stability in Libya.

Keywords:

conflict, conflict mapping, Libya,

PDF

___

Abderrahmane, A. (2018, 11 21). Eurafrique: new paradigms, but old ideas, for France in the Sahel, Retrieved 05 16, 2021, from The Broker: https://www.thebrokeronline.eu/eurafrique-new-paradigms-but-oldideas-for-france-in-the-sahel/.
Aliboni, R., Ben Salem, H., El Sagezli, M., Dias, A. M., Nabli, B. (2017). Conflict in Libya: a multidimensional crisis State of Play and Paths towards a Sustainable Peace, Barcelona: Publisher IEMed.
al-Shadeedi, H., Veen, E. v., Harchaoui, J. (2020). One thousand and one failings Security sector stabilisation and development in Libya, Netherlands: CRU Report.
al-Warfali, A. (2021, March 10). Libyan parliament backs unity government, advancing peace plan, Retrieved 05 11, 2021, from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya-security-idUSKBN2B21BF.
BBC News. (2021, 03 15). Libya profile - Timeline. Retrieved 05 13, 2021, from BBC: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-13755445.
Blanchard, C. M. (2020). Libya: Conflict, Transition, and U.S. Policy, Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service.
Colombo, M., Varvelli, A. (2020). Libya: A Failed State in the Middle of the Mediterranean, IEMED.
Combaz, E. (2014). Key actors, dynamics and issues of Libyan political economy, GSDRC.
Droz-Vincen, P. (2018). Competitive Statehood in Libya: Governing Differently a Specific Setting or Deconstructing its Weak Sovereign State with a Fateful Drift Toward Chaos?, Small Wars & Insurgencies, 29(3), pp.434-455.
Elumami, A., Laessing, U. (2014, 05 18). Gunmen loyal to ex-general storm Libyan parliament, demand suspension, Retrieved 05 09, 2021, from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya-violenceidUSBREA4G04A20140518
Eriksson, M. (2016). A Fratricidal Libya: Making Sense of a Conflict, Small Wars & Insurgencies, 27(5), pp.817-836.
Falk, R. A. (2015). Chaos and counterrevolution: after the Arab Spring, Just World Books.
“Fayez al-Sarraj meets Khalifa Haftar in UAE for talks”. (2017, 05 02). Retrieved 05 13, 2021, from Reuters: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/5/2/fayez-al-sarraj-meetskhalifa-haftar-in-uae-for-talks
Fener, S. (2021). A Unified Government in Libya: Potential Regional Implications, INSS Insight.
Fraihat, İ. (2016). Unfinished revolutions: Yemen, Libya, and Tunisia after the Arab Spring, London: Yale University Press.
Güneş, B. (2018). Libya İç Savaşı ve Kriz Yönetimi, Güvenlik Bilimleri Dergisi, pp.263-291.
Gartenstein-Ross, D., & Barr, N. (2015). Dignity and Dawn: Libya’s Escalating Civil War, The Hague: ICCT.
Ghilès, F. (2020). Some International Players Have a Strategy in Libya, Others Not, CIDOB Notes.
GNA. (2013, 05 08). Legislation No.13, Retrieved 04 21, 2021, from Libyan Security Sector Legislation: https://securitylegislation.ly/sites/default/files/lois/315- Law%20No.%20%2813%29%20of%202013_EN.pdf
Greco, S. (2008). The Ontology of Conflict, Pragmatics&Cognition, 16(3), pp.540-557.
Hamada, A., Sökmen, M., aki, C. (2020). The Libyan Conflict and PeaceBuilding Process: Past Causes and Future Prospects, ERF Working Paper Series.
Harchaoui, J., Lazib, M.-E. (2019). Proxy War Dynamics in Libya, PWP Confict Studies.
Iftikhar, M. H. (2012). Post-Qaddafi Libya: What Went Wrong? Muslum Perspectives, 2(2), 42-73.
International Crisis Group. (2020). Turkey Wades into Libya’s Troubled Waters, Brussels: Crisis Group.
Irish, J., & Pennetier, M. (2020, 06 22). France 'will not tolerate' Turkey's role in Libya, Macron says, Retrieved 05 12, 2021, from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya-security-france-turkeyidUSKBN23T2US
Joffé, G. (2020). Where does Libya go now?, The Journal of North African Studies, 25(1), pp.1-7.
Kharief, A. (2020, 09). Libya’s proxy war, Retrieved 05 11, 2021, from Le Monde diplomatique: https://mondediplo.com/2020/09/04libya
Kirkpatrick, D. D., Schmitt, E. (2014, 08 25). Arab Nations Strike in Libya, Surprising U.S, Retrieved 05 12, 2021, from The New York Times: https://www.nytimes.com/2014/08/26/world/africa/egypt-and-unitedarab-emirates-said-to-have-secretly-carried-out-libya-airstrikes.html
Libyan Political Agreement. (2015, 12 17). Skhirat, Retrieved from Libyan Political Agreement, 17.12.2015, https://menarights.org/sites/default/files/2016- 12/LBY_Political%20Agreement_ENG_0.pdf (accessed: 05.05.2021)
Mason, S., Rychard, S. (2005). Conflict Analysis Tools, Bern: SDC, COPRET.
Megerisi, T. (2020). Geostrategic Dimensions of Libya’s Civil War, Washington, DC: Africa Security Brief.
Mezran, K. (22, 04 2014). The Political Process in Libya, Middle East Institute, Retrieved 05 2021, from https://www.mei.edu/publications/political-process-libya
Mezran, K., & Varvelli, A. (2017). Foreign Actors in Libya's Crisis, Milano: Ledizioni LediPublishing.
Molesworth, T., & Newton, D. (2015, March-September). Instability and Insecurity in Libya Analysis, UNDP
Morana, W. (2019). The OSCE and the Libyan Crisis, Security and Human Rights, pp.23-38.
Pickard, D. (2012, 09 15). Libya’s constitution controversy. Retrieved May 2021, from Foreign Policy: https://foreignpolicy.com/2012/09/05/libyas-constitution-controversy/
Pusztai, W. (2019). Libya's Conflict, A very short introduction, Paris: EUISS.
Quamar, M. (2020). Turkey and the Regional Flashpoint in Libya. Strategic Analysis, pp.1-6.
Representatives, H. O. (2016). About HCS, Retrieved from https://hcs.gov.ly/en/about/
Rowan, M. (2019, 07 01). Libya Timeline: Since Qaddafi's Ouster, Retrieved 05 18, 2021, from United States Institute of Peace: https://www.usip.org/libya-timeline-qaddafis-ouster
Shennib, G. (2014, 02 14). Libyan Government should be suspended, says military commander, Retrieved 03 04, 2021, from The Indepented: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/libyangovernment-should-be-suspended-says-military-commander9127861.html
Tekir, G. (2020). Russian-Turkish Involvement in the Civil War in Libya. Türkiye Rusya Araştırmaları Dergisi, 3, pp.190-215.
The National Interest Foundation. (2020, 06 24). A Case Study on Libya: How External Actors Play a Major Role in Domestic Instability, Retrieved 05 12, 2021, from The National Interest Foundation: https://www.nifusa.org/a-case-study-on-libya-how-external-actorsplay-a-major-role-in-domestic-instability/
United Nations Security Council. (2021). Resolution 2570, UN.
Votradovcová, H. (2017). Beyond the Revolution External Actors in Pre- & Post-Revolutionary Libya. Obrana a strategie (Defence & Strategy), 17(2), pp.101-116.
Watanabe, L. (2019). UN Mediation in Libya: Peace Still a Distant Prospec, Zurich: CCS.
Wehr, P., and Bartos, O. J. (2002). Using Conflict Theory, Cambridge: Cambridge Univesity Press.
Willcoxon, G. F. (2017). Contention, Violence and Stalemate in Post-War Liby,. Mediterranean Politics, 22(1), pp.91-114.
Wood, D. (2019). Peace and Conflict Assessment of Libya, Seton Hall University/German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development.