Ekonomik Büyüme ve Dış Ticaretin Çevre Kirliliği Üzerindeki Etkisi: Türkiye İçin Bir ARDL Sınır Testi Yaklaşımı

Bu çalışma, Türkiye’de ekonomik büyüme ve dış ticaretin çevre kirliliği üzerindeki etkisini karbondioksit salınımı verilerini kullanarak inceler. Burada, Pesaran vd. tarafından son zamanda geliştirilmiş olan ARDL sınır testi yaklaşımı 1980-2010 dönemi için kullanılmıştır. Test sonuçları, 1.520 ve 0.265 elastikiyet değerleri ile değişkenler arasında uzun dönemli bir ilişkinin varlığını göstermektedir. Başka bir ifadeyle, ekonomik büyüme ve dış ticaret açıklığı uzun dönemde çevresel kirliliği artırmaktadır. Sonuç olarak Türkiye’nin İklim Değişikliği Ulusal Eylem Planı 2011-2023 çerçevesinde karbondioksit azaltma hedeflerini gerçekleştirebilmesi için çevre politikalarını tekrar gözden geçirmesi gereklidir.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Ekonomik büyüme, Dış ticaret, Çevre kirliliği, ARDL sınır testi

The Impact of Economic Growth and Foreign Trade on The Environmental Pollution: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach for Turkey

This paper examines the impact of economic growth and foreign trade on the environmental pollution as measured by carbon dioxide emissions in Turkey. Here, we use the ARDL bounds testing approach recently developed by Pesaran et al. over the time period 19802010. The results suggest that there is a long-run relationship between variables with the estimated elasticities of 1.520 and 0.265, respectively. In other words, economic growth and trade openness increase environmental pollution in the long run. The main conclusion of this paper is that in order to fulfill National Climate Change Action Plan 2011-2023 to reduce carbon dioxide emissions, Turkey needs a revised environmental policy

Keywords:

Economic growth, Foreign trade, Environmental pollution, ARDL bounds testing,

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