The Effect of Human Capital on Economic Growth: A Panel Data Analysis

Bu çalışmada beşeri sermaye ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ampirik ilişki 65 ülke için 1967-2011 dönemini kapsayacak şekilde analiz edilmiştir. Bu amaçla, ekonomi literatüründe beşeri sermayenin ana belirleyicileri olarak gösterilen eğitim (beşeri sermaye endeksi) ve sağlık (yetişkinlerde ölüm oranı) modele ayrı ayrı dâhil edilmiş, ekonomik büyümenin göstergesi olarak ise kişi başına GSYH kullanılmıştır. Bu bağlamda, ilk olarak, 65 ülke 2011 yılı kişi başına GSYH (2005 sabit fiyatlarla Amerikan Doları) değerleri ile 3 gruba ayrılmıştır. Ardından, bütün kümeler ayrı ayrı panel veri yöntemi ile analiz edilmiştir. Eğitim ve sağlık değişkenleri için elde edilen katsayılar beşeri sermaye- nin ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkisinin gelişmekte olan ülkeler için pozitif ve istatistiki olarak anlamlı olduğunu göstermiştir

The Effect of Human Capital on Economic Growth: A Panel Data Analysis

We examine the empirical relationship between human capital and economic growth in a panel of 65 countries covering 1967 through 2011. For this purpose, index of human capital per person based on years of schooling and returns to education and mortality rate infant (per 1,000 live births) which are regarded as main components of human capital in economic literature and GDP per capita (constant 2005 US$) as a proxy for economic growth have been utilized. In this context, firstly, countries are classified by using K-means clustering procedure. Then, all clusters are analyzed by panel data analysis. Estimate for the coefficient education and health shows that the effect of human capital on economic growth is positive and statistically significant in developing countries

___

  • Andrew Levin, Chien-Fu Lin and Chia-Shang J. Chu, ‘Unit Root Tests in Panel Data: Asymptotic and Finite Sample Properties’, Journal of Econometrics, No. 108, s. 1-24.
  • Baltagi, Badi. Econometric Analysis of Panel Data, John Wiley Sons, West Sussex 2005.
  • Bedia Aka and Jean C. Dumont, ‘Health Education and Economic Growth: Testing for Long Run Relationships and Causal Links’, Applied Econometrics and International Development, Vol. 8, No. 2, 2008, s. 101-113.
  • Chudik, Alexander et. al., ‘Weak and Strong Cross Section Dependence and Estimation of Large Panels,’ CESifo Working Paper Series 2689, CESifo Group Munich, 2009, s. 6.
  • Florian Schütt, ‘The Importance of Human Capital for Economic Growth’, Institute for World Economics and International Management, Vol. 27, 2003.
  • Greene, William. Econometric Analysis, Prentice Hall, New Jersey 2004.
  • Gregory Mankiw, David Romer and David Weil, ‘A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth’, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 107, No. 2, 1992, s.407.437.
  • Hair, Joseph; Black, William; Bain, Barry and Anderson, Rolph. Multivariate Data Analysis, Prentice Hall, New Jersey 1995.
  • Hashem Pesaran and Takashi Yamagata, ‘Testing Slope Homogeneity in Large Panels’, Journal of Econometrics, No. 142, 2008, s. 50-93.
  • In Choi, ‘unit Root Tests for Panel Data’, Journal of International Money and Finance, No. 20, 2001, s. 249-272.
  • Jaroslava Hlouskova and Martin Wagner, ‘The Performance of Panel Unit Root and Stationary Tests: Results from a Large Scale Simulation Study’, European University Institute Working Paper, No. 5, 2005.
  • Jess Benhabib and Mark Spiegel, ‘The Role of Human Capital in Economic Development Evidence from Aggregate Cross-Country Data’, Journal of Monetary Economics, No. 34, 1994, s.143-173.
  • Johnson, Richard; Wichern, Dean. Applied Multivariate Statistical Analysis, Prentice Hall, New Jersey, 2007.
  • Jonas Ljunberg and Anders Nilsson, ‘Human Capital and Economic Growth: Sweden 1870-2000’, Journal of Historical Economics and Econometric History, Vol. 3, No. 1, 2009, s. 71-95.
  • Kaddour Hadri and Eiji Kurozumi, ‘A Simple Panel Stationarity Test in the Presence of Serial Correlation and a Common Factor’, Economic Letters, No. 115, 2012, s. 31-34.
  • Koç Aylin, ‘Beşeri Sermaye ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: Yatay Kesit Analizi ile AB Ülkeleri Üzerine Bir Değerlendirme’, Maliye Dergisi, No. 165, 2013, s.241- 285.
  • Kyung S. Im, Hashem Pesaran and Yongcheol Shin, ‘Testing for Unit roots in Heterogeneous Panels’ Journal of Econometrics, No. 115, 2003, s. 53-74.
  • Maria J. Freire Seren, ‘Human Capital Accumulation and Economic Growth’, Investigaciones Economicas, Vol. 25, No. 3, 2001, s. 585-602.
  • Muammer Yaylalı and Fuat Lebe, ‘Beşeri Sermaye ile İktisadi Büyüme Arasındaki İlişkinin Ampirik Analizi’, Vol. 30, No. 1, 2011, s. 23-51.
  • Paul Romer, ‘Human Capital and Growth: Theory and Evidence’, NBER Working Paper Series, No. 3173, 1989, s.1-41.
  • Pesaran, Hashem, ‘General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels’, IZA Discussion Paper Series, No. 1240, 2004, s. 4.
  • Raul Ramos, Jordi Surinach and Manuel Artis, ‘Regional Economic Growth and Human Capital: The Role of Overeducation’, The Institute for the Study of Labor Discussion Paper Series, No. 4453, 2009.
  • Robert Solow, ‘A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth’, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 70, No.1, 1956, s. 65-94.
  • Seyed Mohammadi and Boddupalli Prasanna, ‘Analysis of Genetic Diversity in Crop Plants Salient Statistical Tools and Considerations’ Crop Science, No. 43, 2003, s.1235-1248.
  • Sushil K. Haldar and Girijasankar Mallik, ‘Does Human Capital Cause Economic Growth? A Case of India’, International Journal of Economic Sciences and Applied Research’, Vol. 3, No. 1, 2010, s. 7-25.
  • Theodore Schultz, ‘Investment in Human Capital’, The American Economic Review, Vol. 51, No. 1, 1961, s.1-17.
  • Trevor Swan, ‘Economic Growth and Capital Accumulation’, Economic Record, Vol. 32, 1956, s. 334-361.