BANKACILIK SEKTÖRÜNÜN EKONOMİK BÜYÜME VE SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİR EKONOMİK KALKINMA ÜZERİNE ETKİSİ: TÜRKİYE EKONOMİSİ ÜZERİNE NEDENSELLİK TESTLERİ (1981-2009)*

Bu çalışma, Türkiye ekonomisi özelinde bankacılık sektörü ile sürdürülebilir ekonomik kalkınma ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkileri ortaya koymayı amaçlamaktadır. Sürdürülebilir ekonomik kalkınma kavramı ekonomik büyümenin yanı sıra sosyal ve çevresel öğelerin bir arada düşünülmesi gerektiğine vurgu yapmaktadır. Bu doğrultuda sürdürülebilir ekonomik kalkınmayı ölçmek için beşeri gelişme endeksi (HDI), sürdürülebilir beşeri gelişme endeksi (SHDI) ve dış borcun sürdürülebilirliği (DBX) serilerinden yararlanılmıştır. Seriler arasındaki ilişkilerin tespit edilmesinde Toda ve Yamamoto (1995) tarafından geliştirilen nedensellik sınaması kullanılmıştır. Elde edilen bulgular, bankacılık sektöründen hem büyümeye hem de sürdürülebilir ekonomik kalkınmaya doğru nedensellik ilişkilerini ortaya koymuştur. Bu ampirik sonuçlar, ekonomik büyümede ve sosyal ile çevresel alanlarda ilerlemeler kaydedilmesi için bankacılık sektörünün etkin bir araç olarak kullanılabileceğini ortaya koymaktadır.

THE IMPACT OF BANKING SECTOR ON ECONOMIC GROWTH AND SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: THE CAUSALITY TESTS ON TURKISH ECONOMY (1981-2009)

This study aims to reveal the relationships between banking sector and sustainable economic development and economic growth for the case of Turkey economy. The concept of sustainable economic development emphasizes the necessity of considering social and environmental elements altogether besides economic growth. Accordingly, the series of human development index (HDI), sustainable human development index (SHDI) and external debt sustainability were used to measure the sustainable economic development. Causality Test developed by Toda and Yamamoto (2005) was used to determine the relationships between these series. The findings reveal the linear relationships from banking sector to both sustainable economic development and economic growth. These empiric results suggest that banking sector could be used as an effective tool to make progress in economic growth and social and environmental fields

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