FİNANSAL PİYASALARDAKİ GELİŞMELERİN İKTİSADİ BÜYÜME ÜZERİNE ETKİLERİ: TÜRKİYE İÇİN BİR VAR MODELİ

Öz Bu çalışmada, 1987–2005 dönemine ait üç aylık ekonomik veriler kullanılarak, ülkemizde bankacılık sektörü ve menkul kıymet piyasasındaki gelişmelerin iktisadi büyüme üzerindeki muhtemel etkileri araştırılmıştır. Johansen- Juselius eş-bütünleşme test sonuçları, bankacılık sektörü ve menkul kıymet piyasasındaki gelişmeler ile iktisadi büyüme arasında uzun dönemli bir ilişki olduğunu göstermiştir. Granger nedensellik test sonuçları ise, borsa gelişimi ile iktisadi büyüme arasında iki yönlü, bankacılık sektörüyle iktisadi büyüme arasında iktisadi büyümeden bankacılık sektörüne doğru tek yönlü bir nedenselliğe işaret etmiştir. Ülkemize yönelik elde edilen bu bulgular, literatürdeki “talep takibi” görüşünü desteklemektedir.

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