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Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi

Yıl 2000 , Cilt 15 , Sayı 2

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Makale özeti
Başlık :

Forecasting macro targets of the turkish economy for the year 2000: an application of box-jenkins and exponential smoothing methods

Yazar kurumları :
Erciyes Üniversitesi1
Görüntülenme :
217
DOI :
Özet Türkçe :

The basic macroeconomics targets of the Turkish economy for the year 2000 and thereafter are to reduce the interest rates to plansible levels and increase the total production in a steady way. The goal of this study is to see if the Turkish government  can realize these targets for the year 2000. For this purpose ,I employed, here in this study, two widely used forecasting techniques; Box Jenkins and exponential smooting procedures to forecast monthly future values of interest rates on deposits and industrial production index.

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