External Debt and Economic Growth in Transition Countries: Case of Kyrgyzstan

Birçok gelişmekte olan ülkede tasarruf ve sermaye yetersizliğinden dolayı dış borç, doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar ve transferler gibi dış kaynaklar ekonomik büyüme ve kalkınmanın desteklenmesinde önemli rol oynamaktadır. Bu çalışmanın amacı, Kırgız Cumhuriyeti’nde dış kamu borcunun, cari transferlerin ve doğrudan yabancı yatırımların GSYİH üzerindeki etkisini araştırmaktır. 2000Q1-2017Q3 dönemi çeyrek verileri ve ARDL eşbütünleşme yaklaşımı kullanılarak cari transferler, dış borç, DYY ve GSYİH arasında eşbütünleşme ilişkisi olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Sonuçlara göre, cari transferlerin ülke ekonomisine olan katkısı devlet borçlarından daha yüksektir. Hükümetin uzun vadeyi göz önünde bulundurarak dış borçlara ve cari transferlere göre doğrudan yabancı yatırımların artırılmasına daha fazla odaklanması gerektiği önerilmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

dış borç, doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar, cari transferler, ekonomik büyüme, Kırgızistan

External Debt and Economic Growth in Transition Countries: Case of Kyrgyzstan

In many developing countries out of shortage of savings and capital external resources as external debt, foreign direct investment and transfers are play significant role in the fostering economic growth and development. Goal of this paper is to investigate the impact of external public debt, current transfers and foreign direct investments on GDP in the Kyrgyz Republic. Using quarterly data for the period 2000Q1-2017Q3 and the ARDL cointegration approach it was found that a cointegration relation between current transfers, external debt, FDI and GDP. According to results, current transfers’ contribution to the country’s economy is more than government debts. It is suggested that the government should focus more on foreign direct investments than foreign debts and current transfers by considering the long term.

Keywords:

external debt, foreign direct investment, current transfers, economic growth, Kyrgyzstan,

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